Polls
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden
Key 2020 Races: PA-1 | PA-7 | PA-8 | PA-10 | PA-17 President: 2016: Trump +0.7 | 2012: Obama +5.4
Final 2016 RCP Average: Clinton +1.9, Results: Trump +0.7 (Trump +2.6 Ahead of Polls)
Final 2016 RCP Average: Clinton +1.9, Results: Trump +0.7 (Trump +2.6 Ahead of Polls)
Final 2016 RCP Average: Clinton +1.9, Results: Trump +0.7 (Trump +2.6 Ahead of Polls)
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Biden (D) | Trump (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 50.0 | 48.8 | Biden +1.2 |
| RCP Average | 10/29 - 11/2 | -- | -- | 48.7 | 47.5 | Biden +1.2 |
| Susquehanna*Susquehanna* | 11/1 - 11/2 | 499 LV | 4.3 | 48 | 49 | Trump +1 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 10/31 - 11/1 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 50 | 47 | Biden +3 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar (R)* | 10/30 - 10/31 | 1062 LV | 2.9 | 46 | 48 | Trump +2 |
| NBC News/MaristNBC/Marist | 10/29 - 11/1 | 772 LV | 4.4 | 51 | 46 | Biden +5 |
| InsiderAdvantage*InsiderAdvantage* | 10/30 - 10/31 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 47 | 49 | Trump +2 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 10/29 - 11/1 | 699 LV | -- | 50 | 46 | Biden +4 |
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Biden (D) | Trump (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 50.0 | 48.8 | Biden +1.2 |
| RCP Average | 10/29 - 11/2 | -- | -- | 48.7 | 47.5 | Biden +1.2 |
| Susquehanna*Susquehanna* | 11/1 - 11/2 | 499 LV | 4.3 | 48 | 49 | Trump +1 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 10/31 - 11/1 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 50 | 47 | Biden +3 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar (R)* | 10/30 - 10/31 | 1062 LV | 2.9 | 46 | 48 | Trump +2 |
| NBC News/MaristNBC/Marist | 10/29 - 11/1 | 772 LV | 4.4 | 51 | 46 | Biden +5 |
| InsiderAdvantage*InsiderAdvantage* | 10/30 - 10/31 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 47 | 49 | Trump +2 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 10/29 - 11/1 | 699 LV | -- | 50 | 46 | Biden +4 |
| Monmouth*Monmouth* | 10/28 - 11/1 | 502 LV | 4.4 | 51 | 44 | Biden +7 |
| EmersonEmerson | 10/29 - 10/30 | 823 LV | 3.3 | 50 | 46 | Biden +4 |
| Reuters/Ipsos*Reuters/Ipsos* | 10/27 - 11/1 | 673 LV | 4.3 | 51 | 45 | Biden +6 |
| NY Times/Siena*NYT/Siena* | 10/27 - 10/31 | 1862 LV | 2.4 | 49 | 43 | Biden +6 |
| The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill | 10/26 - 10/29 | 901 LV | -- | 51 | 46 | Biden +5 |
| ABC News/Wash Post*ABC News/Wash Post* | 10/24 - 10/29 | 810 LV | 4.0 | 51 | 44 | Biden +7 |
| Morning CallMorning Call | 10/23 - 10/28 | 419 LV | 5.5 | 49 | 44 | Biden +5 |
| InsiderAdvantage*InsiderAdvantage* | 10/25 - 10/25 | 400 LV | 4.9 | 46 | 48 | Trump +2 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar (R)* | 10/24 - 10/25 | 1076 LV | 2.9 | 48 | 48 | Tie |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 10/23 - 10/27 | 1324 LV | 2.7 | 51 | 44 | Biden +7 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 10/20 - 10/26 | 653 LV | 4.0 | 50 | 45 | Biden +5 |
| Franklin & Marshall*F&M* | 10/19 - 10/25 | 558 LV | 5.0 | 50 | 44 | Biden +6 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 10/18 - 10/19 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 50 | 47 | Biden +3 |
| FOX News*FOX News* | 10/17 - 10/20 | 1045 LV | 3.0 | 50 | 45 | Biden +5 |
| CNN*CNN* | 10/15 - 10/20 | 843 LV | 4.0 | 53 | 43 | Biden +10 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 10/16 - 10/19 | 574 LV | -- | 49 | 47 | Biden +2 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 10/16 - 10/19 | 1241 LV | 2.8 | 51 | 43 | Biden +8 |
| USA Today/Suffolk*USA Today* | 10/15 - 10/19 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 49 | 42 | Biden +7 |
| U. of Wisconsin/YouGovU. of Wisc. | 10/13 - 10/21 | 669 LV | 4.5 | 52 | 44 | Biden +8 |
| Morning CallMorning Call | 10/13 - 10/20 | 416 LV | 5.5 | 51 | 44 | Biden +7 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 10/13 - 10/19 | 653 LV | 4.0 | 49 | 45 | Biden +4 |
| The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill | 10/12 - 10/15 | 992 LV | -- | 51 | 46 | Biden +5 |
| InsiderAdvantage*InsiderAdvantage* | 10/12 - 10/13 | 400 LV | 4.9 | 46 | 43 | Biden +3 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar (R)* | 10/10 - 10/12 | 1034 LV | 3.0 | 47 | 45 | Biden +2 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 10/6 - 10/11 | 622 LV | 5.0 | 51 | 44 | Biden +7 |
| EmersonEmerson | 10/4 - 10/5 | 688 LV | 3.7 | 50 | 45 | Biden +5 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 10/2 - 10/4 | 468 LV | -- | 50 | 46 | Biden +4 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 10/1 - 10/5 | 1211 LV | 2.8 | 54 | 41 | Biden +13 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 9/29 - 10/5 | 605 LV | 5.0 | 50 | 45 | Biden +5 |
| Monmouth*Monmouth* | 9/30 - 10/4 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 54 | 43 | Biden +11 |
| CBS News/YouGovCBS News | 9/30 - 10/2 | 1187 LV | 3.2 | 51 | 44 | Biden +7 |
| NY Times/Siena*NYT/Siena* | 9/30 - 10/2 | 706 LV | 4.1 | 49 | 42 | Biden +7 |
| NY Times/SienaNYT/Siena | 9/25 - 9/27 | 711 LV | 4.3 | 49 | 40 | Biden +9 |
| TIPPTIPP | 9/24 - 9/26 | 774 LV | 3.6 | 50 | 45 | Biden +5 |
| ABC News/Wash PostABC/WP | 9/21 - 9/26 | 567 LV | 4.5 | 54 | 45 | Biden +9 |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 9/20 - 9/23 | 856 LV | 3.0 | 51 | 44 | Biden +7 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 9/18 - 9/20 | 579 LV | -- | 49 | 45 | Biden +4 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar (R)* | 9/15 - 9/17 | 1006 LV | 3.0 | 47 | 45 | Biden +2 |
| Univ. of Wis/YouGovUW/YouGov | 9/10 - 9/21 | 642 LV | -- | 49 | 45 | Biden +4 |
| Franklin & MarshallF&M | 9/14 - 9/20 | 480 LV | 7.8 | 48 | 42 | Biden +6 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 9/11 - 9/16 | 611 LV | 4.5 | 49 | 46 | Biden +3 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 9/4 - 9/6 | LV | -- | 50 | 46 | Biden +4 |
| NBC News/MaristNBC/Marist | 8/31 - 9/7 | 771 LV | 4.4 | 53 | 44 | Biden +9 |
| SusquehannaSusquehanna | 8/26 - 9/4 | 498 LV | 4.3 | 44 | 42 | Biden +2 |
| Monmouth*Monmouth* | 8/28 - 8/31 | 400 RV | 4.9 | 49 | 46 | Biden +3 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 8/28 - 8/31 | 1107 LV | 3.0 | 52 | 44 | Biden +8 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 8/25 - 8/27 | 1000 LV | 3.0 | 46 | 46 | Tie |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 8/21 - 8/23 | 984 LV | 2.0 | 49 | 46 | Biden +3 |
| Franklin & MarshallF&M | 8/17 - 8/23 | 681 RV | 5.2 | 49 | 42 | Biden +7 |
| Morning CallMorning Call | 8/11 - 8/17 | 416 LV | 5.5 | 49 | 45 | Biden +4 |
| EmersonEmerson | 8/8 - 8/10 | 843 LV | 3.4 | 52 | 43 | Biden +9 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 8/7 - 8/9 | 456 LV | -- | 48 | 44 | Biden +4 |
| CBS News/YouGovCBS News | 8/4 - 8/7 | 1211 LV | 3.7 | 49 | 43 | Biden +6 |
| Univ. of Wis/YouGovUW/YouGov | 7/26 - 8/6 | 742 RV | 4.9 | 50 | 41 | Biden +9 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 7/24 - 7/26 | 382 LV | -- | 48 | 46 | Biden +2 |
| Franklin & MarshallF&M | 7/20 - 7/26 | 667 RV | 5.5 | 50 | 41 | Biden +9 |
| GravisGravis | 7/22 - 7/24 | 1006 LV | 3.1 | 48 | 45 | Biden +3 |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 7/18 - 7/20 | 793 RV | 3.5 | 50 | 39 | Biden +11 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 7/15 - 7/16 | 750 LV | 3.5 | 51 | 46 | Biden +5 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 7/10 - 7/12 | 743 LV | -- | 50 | 42 | Biden +8 |
| MonmouthMonmouth | 7/9 - 7/13 | 401 LV | 4.9 | 52 | 42 | Biden +10 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)Trafalgar | 6/29 - 7/2 | 1062 LV | 2.9 | 48 | 43 | Biden +5 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 6/26 - 6/28 | 760 LV | -- | 50 | 44 | Biden +6 |
| SusquehannaSusquehanna | 6/15 - 6/23 | 715 LV | 3.8 | 46 | 41 | Biden +5 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 6/12 - 6/14 | 491 LV | -- | 49 | 46 | Biden +3 |
| NY Times/SienaNYT/Siena | 6/8 - 6/16 | 651 RV | 4.2 | 50 | 40 | Biden +10 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 5/29 - 5/31 | 579 LV | -- | 46 | 50 | Trump +4 |
| Harper (R)Harper (R) | 4/21 - 4/26 | 644 LV | 3.9 | 49 | 43 | Biden +6 |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 4/18 - 4/21 | 803 RV | 3.5 | 50 | 42 | Biden +8 |
| SusquehannaSusquehanna | 4/14 - 4/20 | 693 LV | 3.7 | 48 | 42 | Biden +6 |
| Yahoo News/YouGovYouGov | 3/6 - 3/8 | RV | -- | 46 | 40 | Biden +6 |
| Morning CallMorning Call | 2/12 - 2/20 | 424 RV | 5.5 | 47 | 47 | Tie |
| Univ. of Wis/YouGovUW/YouGov | 2/11 - 2/20 | 1249 LV | 3.5 | 46 | 45 | Biden +1 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 2/12 - 2/18 | 845 RV | 3.4 | 50 | 42 | Biden +8 |
| Morning CallMorning Call | 11/4 - 11/9 | 410 RV | 6.0 | 52 | 43 | Biden +9 |
| NY Times/SienaNYT/Siena | 10/13 - 10/26 | 661 LV | 4.4 | 46 | 45 | Biden +1 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 5/9 - 5/14 | 978 RV | 4.2 | 53 | 42 | Biden +11 |
| EmersonEmerson | 3/26 - 3/28 | 808 RV | 3.4 | 55 | 45 | Biden +10 |
