Polls
Michigan: Trump vs. Biden
Key 2020 Races: Senate | MI-3 | MI-6 | MI-8 | MI-11 President: 2016: Trump +0.3 | 2012: Obama +9.5
Final 2016 RCP Average: Clinton +3.4, Results: Trump +0.3 (Trump +3.7 Ahead of Polls)
Final 2016 RCP Average: Clinton +3.4, Results: Trump +0.3 (Trump +3.7 Ahead of Polls)
Final 2016 RCP Average: Clinton +3.4, Results: Trump +0.3 (Trump +3.7 Ahead of Polls)
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Biden (D) | Trump (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 50.6 | 47.8 | Biden +2.8 |
| RCP Average | 10/29 - 11/1 | -- | -- | 50.0 | 45.8 | Biden +4.2 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar (R)* | 10/30 - 10/31 | 1033 LV | 2.9 | 46 | 48 | Trump +2 |
| InsiderAdvantage*InsiderAdvantage* | 10/30 - 10/31 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 49 | 47 | Biden +2 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 10/29 - 11/1 | 383 LV | -- | 51 | 44 | Biden +7 |
| EmersonEmerson | 10/29 - 10/30 | 700 LV | 3.4 | 52 | 45 | Biden +7 |
| Mitchell Research*Mitchell Research* | 10/29 - 10/29 | 817 LV | 3.4 | 52 | 45 | Biden +7 |
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Biden (D) | Trump (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 50.6 | 47.8 | Biden +2.8 |
| RCP Average | 10/29 - 11/1 | -- | -- | 50.0 | 45.8 | Biden +4.2 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar (R)* | 10/30 - 10/31 | 1033 LV | 2.9 | 46 | 48 | Trump +2 |
| InsiderAdvantage*InsiderAdvantage* | 10/30 - 10/31 | 500 LV | 4.4 | 49 | 47 | Biden +2 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 10/29 - 11/1 | 383 LV | -- | 51 | 44 | Biden +7 |
| EmersonEmerson | 10/29 - 10/30 | 700 LV | 3.4 | 52 | 45 | Biden +7 |
| Mitchell Research*Mitchell Research* | 10/29 - 10/29 | 817 LV | 3.4 | 52 | 45 | Biden +7 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 10/27 - 11/1 | 654 LV | 4.0 | 52 | 42 | Biden +10 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar (R)* | 10/25 - 10/28 | 1058 LV | 2.9 | 47 | 49 | Trump +2 |
| EPIC-MRAEPIC-MRA | 10/25 - 10/28 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 48 | 41 | Biden +7 |
| CNN*CNN* | 10/23 - 10/30 | 907 LV | 3.8 | 53 | 41 | Biden +12 |
| MIRS/Mitchell Research*MIRS* | 10/25 - 10/27 | 759 LV | 3.6 | 52 | 42 | Biden +10 |
| NY Times/Siena*NYT/Siena* | 10/23 - 10/26 | 856 LV | 3.8 | 49 | 41 | Biden +8 |
| Detroit News/WDIV-TVDetroit News | 10/23 - 10/25 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 49 | 42 | Biden +7 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 10/21 - 10/27 | 652 LV | 4.0 | 52 | 43 | Biden +9 |
| ABC News/Wash Post*ABC News/Wash Post* | 10/20 - 10/25 | 789 LV | 4.0 | 51 | 44 | Biden +7 |
| MIRS/Mitchell Research*MIRS* | 10/18 - 10/18 | 900 LV | 3.3 | 51 | 41 | Biden +10 |
| FOX News*FOX News* | 10/17 - 10/20 | 1032 LV | 3.0 | 52 | 40 | Biden +12 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 10/14 - 10/20 | 686 LV | 4.0 | 51 | 44 | Biden +7 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 10/16 - 10/19 | 718 LV | -- | 51 | 44 | Biden +7 |
| EPIC-MRAEPIC-MRA | 10/15 - 10/19 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 48 | 39 | Biden +9 |
| U. of Wisconsin/YouGovU. of Wisc. | 10/13 - 10/21 | 681 LV | 4.2 | 52 | 42 | Biden +10 |
| The Hill/HarrisXThe Hill | 10/12 - 10/15 | 1289 LV | -- | 54 | 43 | Biden +11 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar (R)* | 10/11 - 10/14 | 1025 LV | 3.0 | 46 | 47 | Trump +1 |
| EPIC-MRAEPIC-MRA | 10/8 - 10/12 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 48 | 39 | Biden +9 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 10/7 - 10/13 | 620 LV | 5.0 | 51 | 43 | Biden +8 |
| NY Times/Siena*NYT/Siena* | 10/6 - 10/11 | 614 LV | 4.6 | 48 | 40 | Biden +8 |
| CBS News/YouGovCBS News | 10/6 - 10/9 | 1190 LV | 3.3 | 52 | 46 | Biden +6 |
| EmersonEmerson | 10/6 - 10/7 | 716 LV | 3.6 | 52 | 42 | Biden +10 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 10/2 - 10/4 | 676 LV | -- | 51 | 43 | Biden +8 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 9/29 - 10/6 | 709 LV | 4.0 | 51 | 43 | Biden +8 |
| Detroit News/WDIV-TVDetroit News | 9/30 - 10/3 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 48 | 39 | Biden +9 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)*Trafalgar (R)* | 9/20 - 9/22 | 1015 LV | 3.0 | 46 | 47 | Trump +1 |
| NBC News/MaristNBC/Marist | 9/19 - 9/22 | 799 LV | 4.3 | 52 | 44 | Biden +8 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 9/18 - 9/20 | 568 LV | -- | 51 | 43 | Biden +8 |
| MRGMRG | 9/14 - 9/19 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 46 | 41 | Biden +5 |
| Univ. of Wis/YouGovUW/YouGov | 9/10 - 9/21 | 641 LV | -- | 51 | 45 | Biden +6 |
| Reuters/IpsosReuters | 9/11 - 9/16 | 637 LV | 4.4 | 49 | 44 | Biden +5 |
| EPIC-MRAEPIC-MRA | 9/10 - 9/15 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 48 | 40 | Biden +8 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 9/4 - 9/6 | LV | -- | 49 | 43 | Biden +6 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 9/2 - 9/3 | 1000 LV | 3.0 | 51 | 43 | Biden +8 |
| Detroit News/WDIV-TVDetroit News | 9/1 - 9/3 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 47 | 42 | Biden +5 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 8/21 - 8/23 | 809 LV | -- | 50 | 44 | Biden +6 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)Trafalgar | 8/14 - 8/23 | 1048 LV | 3.0 | 45 | 47 | Trump +2 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 8/7 - 8/9 | 413 LV | -- | 48 | 43 | Biden +5 |
| Univ. of Wis/YouGovUW/YouGov | 7/26 - 8/6 | 761 RV | 5.1 | 47 | 43 | Biden +4 |
| EPIC-MRA*EPIC-MRA* | 7/25 - 7/30 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 51 | 40 | Biden +11 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 7/24 - 7/26 | 382 LV | -- | 46 | 42 | Biden +4 |
| CBS News/YouGovCBS News | 7/21 - 7/24 | 1156 LV | 3.4 | 48 | 42 | Biden +6 |
| GravisGravis | 7/22 - 7/22 | 754 RV | 3.6 | 51 | 42 | Biden +9 |
| CNNCNN | 7/18 - 7/24 | 927 RV | 3.8 | 52 | 40 | Biden +12 |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 7/18 - 7/20 | 756 RV | 3.5 | 49 | 40 | Biden +9 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 7/10 - 7/12 | 824 LV | -- | 48 | 42 | Biden +6 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 6/26 - 6/28 | 699 LV | -- | 48 | 43 | Biden +5 |
| Trafalgar Group (R)Trafalgar | 6/16 - 6/18 | 1101 LV | 3.0 | 46 | 45 | Biden +1 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 6/12 - 6/14 | 353 LV | -- | 47 | 45 | Biden +2 |
| NY Times/SienaNYT/Siena | 6/8 - 6/17 | 610 RV | 4.3 | 47 | 36 | Biden +11 |
| TIPPTIPP | 6/9 - 6/12 | 859 LV | -- | 51 | 38 | Biden +13 |
| EPIC-MRAEPIC-MRA | 5/31 - 6/4 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 55 | 39 | Biden +16 |
| EPIC-MRAEPIC-MRA | 5/30 - 6/3 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 53 | 41 | Biden +12 |
| CNBC/Change Research (D)CNBC | 5/29 - 5/31 | 620 LV | -- | 48 | 46 | Biden +2 |
| Change Research (D)Change Res. | 5/11 - 5/17 | 3070 LV | 1.9 | 49 | 46 | Biden +3 |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 4/18 - 4/21 | 801 RV | 3.5 | 49 | 41 | Biden +8 |
| MRGMRG | 3/16 - 3/20 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 44 | 41 | Biden +3 |
| Yahoo News/YouGovYouGov | 3/6 - 3/8 | RV | -- | 45 | 41 | Biden +4 |
| MonmouthMonmouth | 3/5 - 3/8 | 977 RV | 3.1 | 48 | 41 | Biden +7 |
| Univ. of Wis/YouGovUW/YouGov | 2/11 - 2/20 | 1249 LV | 3.0 | 47 | 43 | Biden +4 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 2/12 - 2/18 | 845 RV | 3.4 | 47 | 43 | Biden +4 |
| EPIC-MRAEPIC-MRA | 1/9 - 1/12 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 50 | 44 | Biden +6 |
| Detroit News/WDIV-TVDetroit News | 1/3 - 1/7 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 50 | 43 | Biden +7 |
| EmersonEmerson | 10/31 - 11/3 | 1051 RV | 3.0 | 56 | 44 | Biden +12 |
| NY Times/SienaNYT/Siena | 10/13 - 10/25 | 501 LV | 5.1 | 45 | 44 | Biden +1 |
| EPIC-MRAEPIC-MRA | 8/17 - 8/21 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 51 | 41 | Biden +10 |
| EPIC-MRAEPIC-MRA | 6/8 - 6/12 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 52 | 41 | Biden +11 |
| Detroit News/WDIV-TVDetroit News | 5/28 - 5/30 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 53 | 41 | Biden +12 |
| EmersonEmerson | 3/7 - 3/10 | 743 RV | 3.5 | 54 | 46 | Biden +8 |
| Detroit News/WDIV-TVDetroit News | 1/24 - 1/26 | 600 LV | 4.0 | 53 | 40 | Biden +13 |
| EPIC-MRAEPIC-MRA | 4/28 - 4/30 | 600 RV | 4.0 | 52 | 39 | Biden +13 |
