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RealClearPolitics Poll Averages
Democratic Presidential Nomination
| Poll | Date | Sample | Obama | Clinton | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 05/08 - 05/15 | -- | 48.5 | 42.0 | Obama +6.5 |
| Gallup Tracking | 05/13 - 05/15 | 1232 V | 48 | 44 | Obama +4.0 |
| Rasmussen Tracking | 05/12 - 05/15 | 900 LV | 48 | 42 | Obama +6.0 |
| Quinnipiac | 05/08 - 05/12 | 864 RV | 45 | 41 | Obama +4.0 |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 05/08 - 05/11 | 620 A | 53 | 41 | Obama +12.0 |
General Election: McCain vs. Clinton
| Poll | Date | Sample | Clinton (D) | McCain (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 05/01 - 05/15 | -- | 46.7 | 43.3 | Clinton +3.4 |
| Gallup Tracking | 05/11 - 05/15 | 4366 RV | 48 | 45 | Clinton +3.0 |
| Rasmussen Tracking | 05/12 - 05/15 | 1600 LV | 45 | 44 | Clinton +1.0 |
| Quinnipiac | 05/08 - 05/12 | 1475 RV | 46 | 41 | Clinton +5.0 |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 05/08 - 05/11 | 1122 A | 49 | 46 | Clinton +3.0 |
| POS/GQR | 05/07 - 05/08 | 800 LV | 45 | 46 | McCain +1.0 |
| LA Times/Bloomberg | 05/01 - 05/08 | 1986 RV | 47 | 38 | Clinton +9.0 |
General Election: McCain vs. Obama
| Poll | Date | Sample | Obama (D) | McCain (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 05/01 - 05/15 | -- | 47.0 | 43.2 | Obama +3.8 |
| Gallup Tracking | 05/11 - 05/15 | 4366 RV | 45 | 47 | McCain +2.0 |
| Rasmussen Tracking | 05/12 - 05/15 | 1600 LV | 45 | 45 | Tie |
| Quinnipiac | 05/08 - 05/12 | 1475 RV | 47 | 40 | Obama +7.0 |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 05/08 - 05/11 | 1122 A | 51 | 44 | Obama +7.0 |
| POS/GQR | 05/07 - 05/08 | 800 LV | 48 | 43 | Obama +5.0 |
| LA Times/Bloomberg | 05/01 - 05/08 | 1986 RV | 46 | 40 | Obama +6.0 |
President Bush Job Approval
| Poll | Date | Approve | Disapprove | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 05/04 - 05/12 | 30.6 | 65.8 | -35.2 |
| Quinnipiac | 05/08 - 05/12 | 28 | 67 | -39.0 |
| Gallup | 05/08 - 05/11 | 29 | 66 | -37.0 |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 05/08 - 05/11 | 31 | 66 | -35.0 |
| Rasmussen | 05/04 - 05/10 | 32 | 65 | -33.0 |
| POS/GQR | 05/07 - 05/08 | 33 | 65 | -32.0 |
Congressional Job Approval
| Poll | Date | Approve | Disapprove | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 05/07 - 05/12 | 18.7 | 75.0 | -56.3 |
| Quinnipiac | 05/08 - 05/12 | 16 | 76 | -60.0 |
| Gallup | 05/08 - 05/11 | 18 | 76 | -58.0 |
| POS/GQR | 05/07 - 05/08 | 22 | 73 | -51.0 |
Direction of Country
| Poll | Date | Right Direction | Wrong Direction | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 05/01 - 05/11 | 15.3 | 81.0 | -65.7 |
| Gallup | 05/08 - 05/11 | 14 | 85 | -71.0 |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 05/08 - 05/11 | 16 | 82 | -66.0 |
| POS/GQR | 05/07 - 05/08 | 16 | 80 | -64.0 |
| LA Times/Bloomberg | 05/01 - 05/08 | 15 | 77 | -62.0 |
Generic Congressional Vote
| Poll | Date | Republican | Democrat | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 04/04 - 04/29 | 34.3 | 47.3 | Democrat +13.0 |
| NBC/WSJ | 04/25 - 04/28 | 34 | 49 | Democrat +15.0 |
| CBS News/NY Times | 04/25 - 04/29 | 32 | 50 | Democrat +18.0 |
| Rasmussen | 04/04 - 04/06 | 37 | 43 | Democrat +6.0 |