RCP Average: Daugaard +30.3
RCP Ranking: Safe GOP
2014 Key Races: Senate
----------PAST KEY RACES----------
2012: President
2010: Governor | SD-AL
2008: President | Senate
2006: Governor
2004: President | Senate | SD-AL
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Daugaard (R) * | Wismer (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 70.5 | 25.4 | Daugaard +45.1 |
| RCP Average | 10/16 - 10/26 | -- | -- | 59.3 | 29.0 | Daugaard +30.3 |
| SurveyUSA*SurveyUSA* | 10/21 - 10/26 | 611 LV | 4.0 | 54 | 34 | Daugaard +20 |
| Argus Leader/Mason-Dixon*Argus Leader/Mason-Dixon* | 10/20 - 10/23 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 62 | 26 | Daugaard +36 |
| NBC News/MaristNBC News/Marist | 10/19 - 10/23 | 730 LV | 3.6 | 67 | 28 | Daugaard +39 |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGovCBS News/NYT/YouGov | 10/16 - 10/23 | 527 LV | 8.0 | 54 | 28 | Daugaard +26 |
All 2014 South Dakota Governor - Daugaard vs. Wismer Polling Data
South Dakota is by some historical measures the nation’s most Republican state. From the time of its admission to the union (1889) into the 1930s, it had only a token Democratic presence in its state legislature. Even after the Great Depression gave birth to a competitive Democratic Party, Democrats only occasionally won the gubernatorial race.
The state’s Democrats today suffer from the longest gubernatorial drought in the nation, as they have not won the office since 1974. In 2010, Republicans nominated Lt. Gov. Dennis Daugaard to succeed popular Mike Rounds, while Democrats nominated state Senate Minority Leader Scott Heidepriem. Though a solid candidate, the latter lost the race by 23 points. State Rep. Susan Wismer seems unlikely to fare much better this year.
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Daugaard (R) * | Wismer (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 70.5 | 25.4 | Daugaard +45.1 |
| RCP Average | 10/16 - 10/26 | -- | -- | 59.3 | 29.0 | Daugaard +30.3 |
| SurveyUSA*SurveyUSA* | 10/21 - 10/26 | 611 LV | 4.0 | 54 | 34 | Daugaard +20 |
| Argus Leader/Mason-Dixon*Argus Leader/Mason-Dixon* | 10/20 - 10/23 | 800 LV | 3.5 | 62 | 26 | Daugaard +36 |
| NBC News/MaristNBC News/Marist | 10/19 - 10/23 | 730 LV | 3.6 | 67 | 28 | Daugaard +39 |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGovCBS News/NYT/YouGov | 10/16 - 10/23 | 527 LV | 8.0 | 54 | 28 | Daugaard +26 |
| Harper (R)*Harper (R)* | 10/9 - 10/11 | 630 LV | 3.9 | 53 | 35 | Daugaard +18 |
| SurveyUSA*SurveyUSA* | 10/1 - 10/5 | 616 LV | 4.0 | 59 | 30 | Daugaard +29 |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGovCBS News/NYT/YouGov | 9/20 - 10/1 | 382 LV | 7.0 | 57 | 31 | Daugaard +26 |
| Nielson Brothers*Nielson Brothers* | 9/21 - 9/25 | 607 LV | 3.4 | 53 | 28 | Daugaard +25 |
| SurveyUSA*SurveyUSA* | 9/3 - 9/7 | 510 LV | 4.4 | 54 | 34 | Daugaard +20 |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGovCBS News/NYT/YouGov | 8/18 - 9/2 | 526 LV | 6.0 | 55 | 28 | Daugaard +27 |
| Nielson Brothers*Nielson Brothers* | 7/23 - 7/28 | 572 LV | 4.1 | 53 | 29 | Daugaard +24 |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGovCBS News/NYT/YouGov | 7/5 - 7/24 | 630 RV | -- | 66 | 27 | Daugaard +39 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports | 6/4 - 6/5 | 750 LV | 4.0 | 55 | 35 | Daugaard +20 |
| SurveyUSA*SurveyUSA* | 5/6 - 5/10 | 504 LV | 4.4 | 56 | 23 | Daugaard +33 |