Obama (D) vs. McCain (R)Favorability: Obama | McCainNat'l Polls (w/Barr, Nader)
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Florida Republican Primary
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | McCain | Romney | Giuliani | Huckabee | Paul | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | 36.0 | 31.0 | 14.7 | 13.5 | 3.2 | McCain +5.0 |
| RCP Average | 01/22 - 01/28 | -- | 30.7 | 30.1 | 14.7 | 12.9 | 3.6 | McCain +0.6 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 01/28 - 01/28 | 813 LV | 31 | 30 | 13 | 15 | 2 | McCain +1 |
| Mitchell Research | 01/27 - 01/28 | 964 LV | 32 | 34 | 13 | 10 | 3 | Romney +2 |
| Reuters/CSpan/Zogby | 01/27 - 01/28 | 941 LV | 35 | 31 | 13 | 13 | 2 | McCain +4 |
| SurveyUSA | 01/27 - 01/28 | 979 LV | 32 | 31 | 15 | 13 | 6 | McCain +1 |
| Rasmussen | 01/27 - 01/27 | 578 LV | 31 | 31 | 16 | 11 | 4 | Tie |
| Strategic Vision (R) | 01/25 - 01/27 | 600 LV | 27 | 26 | 17 | 15 | 5 | McCain +1 |
| Suffolk | 01/25 - 01/27 | 400 LV | 30 | 27 | 13 | 11 | 4 | McCain +3 |
| Quinnipiac | 01/24 - 01/27 | 585 LV | 32 | 31 | 14 | 13 | 3 | McCain +1 |
| Mason-Dixon | 01/22 - 01/23 | 400 LV | 26 | 30 | 18 | 15 | 3 | Romney +4 |
Recent Commentary & News Stories
- Next President Confronts Staggering to-Do List - Susan Page, USA Today
- McCain's Duty to Expose Real Obama - Tony Blankley, Washington Times
- Obama Drowning Out McCain in TV Ads - Jeanne Cummings, Politico
- The Great Realignment is at Hand - Brent Budowsky, The Hill
- Obama's Abortion Extremism - Robert George, Public Discourse
See All Florida Republican Primary Commentary & News Stories
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | McCain | Romney | Giuliani | Huckabee | Paul | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | 36.0 | 31.0 | 14.7 | 13.5 | 3.2 | McCain +5.0 |
| RCP Average | 01/22 - 01/28 | -- | 30.7 | 30.1 | 14.7 | 12.9 | 3.6 | McCain +0.6 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 01/28 - 01/28 | 813 LV | 31 | 30 | 13 | 15 | 2 | McCain +1 |
| Mitchell Research | 01/27 - 01/28 | 964 LV | 32 | 34 | 13 | 10 | 3 | Romney +2 |
| Reuters/CSpan/Zogby | 01/27 - 01/28 | 941 LV | 35 | 31 | 13 | 13 | 2 | McCain +4 |
| SurveyUSA | 01/27 - 01/28 | 979 LV | 32 | 31 | 15 | 13 | 6 | McCain +1 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 01/27 - 01/27 | 789 LV | 28 | 27 | 16 | 13 | 4 | McCain +1 |
| SurveyUSA | 01/27 - 01/27 | 608 LV | 31 | 32 | 16 | 13 | 5 | Romney +1 |
| Rasmussen | 01/27 - 01/27 | 578 LV | 31 | 31 | 16 | 11 | 4 | Tie |
| Strategic Vision (R) | 01/25 - 01/27 | 600 LV | 27 | 26 | 17 | 15 | 5 | McCain +1 |
| Suffolk | 01/25 - 01/27 | 400 LV | 30 | 27 | 13 | 11 | 4 | McCain +3 |
| Reuters/CSpan/Zogby | 01/25 - 01/27 | 818 LV | 33 | 30 | 14 | 11 | 2 | McCain +3 |
| Quinnipiac | 01/24 - 01/27 | 585 LV | 32 | 31 | 14 | 13 | 3 | McCain +1 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 01/26 - 01/26 | 657 LV | 25 | 25 | 17 | 17 | 6 | Tie |
| Rasmussen | 01/26 - 01/26 | 500 LV | 27 | 33 | 18 | 12 | 2 | Romney +6 |
| Reuters/CSpan/Zogby | 01/24 - 01/26 | 814 LV | 30 | 30 | 13 | 14 | 3 | Tie |
| InsiderAdvantage | 01/25 - 01/25 | 692 LV | 24 | 26 | 16 | 15 | 7 | Romney +2 |
| ReutersC-Span/Zogby | 01/23 - 01/25 | 814 LV | 31 | 28 | 15 | 10 | 5 | McCain +3 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 01/24 - 01/24 | 420 LV | 23 | 23 | 16 | 13 | 7 | Tie |
| SurveyUSA | 01/23 - 01/24 | 550 LV | 30 | 28 | 18 | 14 | 6 | McCain +2 |
| Rasmussen | 01/23 - 01/23 | 675 LV | 23 | 27 | 20 | 15 | 4 | Romney +4 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 01/23 - 01/23 | 501 LV | 23 | 22 | 18 | 16 | 4 | McCain +1 |
| Mason-Dixon | 01/22 - 01/23 | 400 LV | 26 | 30 | 18 | 15 | 3 | Romney +4 |
| Herald/SPT/Bay9 | 01/20 - 01/22 | 800 LV | 25 | 23 | 15 | 15 | 3 | McCain +2 |
| Strategic Vision (R) | 01/20 - 01/22 | 606 LV | 25 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 5 | McCain +3 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 01/20 - 01/21 | 512 LV | 18 | 24 | 19 | 12 | 7 | Romney +5 |
| SurveyUSA | 01/20 - 01/20 | 518 LV | 25 | 19 | 20 | 14 | 7 | McCain +5 |
| Rasmussen | 01/20 - 01/20 | 754 LV | 20 | 25 | 19 | 13 | 5 | Romney +5 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 01/15 - 01/16 | 446 LV | 20 | 20 | 21 | 13 | 6 | Giuliani +1 |
| Research 2000 | 01/14 - 01/16 | 500 LV | 26 | 16 | 22 | 17 | 5 | McCain +4 |
| Strategic Vision (R) | 01/11 - 01/13 | 605 LV | 27 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 5 | McCain +7 |
| SurveyUSA | 01/11 - 01/13 | 542 LV | 25 | 18 | 23 | 18 | 4 | McCain +2 |
| Quinnipiac | 01/09 - 01/13 | 419 LV | 22 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 5 | McCain +2 |
| Rasmussen | 01/09 - 01/12 | 781 LV | 19 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 5 | McCain +1 |
| SurveyUSA | 01/09 - 01/10 | 502 LV | 27 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 5 | McCain +8 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 01/07 - 01/07 | 340 LV | 19 | 13 | 24 | 19 | 5 | Giuliani +5 |
| Quinnipiac | 12/12 - 12/18 | 397 LV | 13 | 20 | 28 | 21 | 2 | Giuliani +7 |
| SurveyUSA | 12/15 - 12/16 | 431 LV | 10 | 20 | 29 | 24 | -- | Giuliani +5 |
| Strategic Vision (R) | 12/14 - 12/16 | 600 LV | 15 | 13 | 25 | 21 | 4 | Giuliani +4 |
| Rasmussen | 12/13 - 12/13 | 685 LV | 6 | 23 | 19 | 27 | 4 | Huckabee +4 |
| SurveyUSA | 12/02 - 12/04 | 493 LV | 11 | 15 | 32 | 18 | -- | Giuliani +14 |
| Quinnipiac | 11/26 - 12/03 | 440 RV | 9 | 12 | 30 | 11 | 4 | Giuliani +18 |
| CNN | 11/25 - 11/26 | 300 LV | 11 | 17 | 38 | 9 | 5 | Giuliani +21 |
| Insider Advantage | 11/25 - 11/26 | 675 LV | 13 | 12 | 26 | 17 | 3 | Giuliani +9 |
| Rasmussen | 11/18 - 11/18 | 508 LV | 10 | 19 | 27 | 9 | 5 | Giuliani +8 |
| Mason-Dixon | 11/12 - 11/14 | 315 LV | 10 | 15 | 36 | 8 | 1 | Giuliani +21 |
| Strategic Vision (R) | 11/09 - 11/11 | 600 LV | 13 | 12 | 31 | 10 | 4 | Giuliani +18 |
| St. Petersburg Times | 11/04 - 11/07 | RV | 12 | 19 | 36 | 9 | 2 | Giuliani +17 |
| SurveyUSA | 11/02 - 11/05 | 435 LV | 10 | 17 | 34 | 8 | -- | Giuliani +17 |
| Quinnipiac | 10/19 - 10/22 | 394 LV | 14 | 12 | 30 | 8 | 1 | Giuliani +16 |
| Insider Advantage | 10/17 - 10/19 | 600 LV | 9 | 17 | 33 | 8 | 2 | Giuliani +16 |
| Quinnipiac | 10/01 - 10/08 | 345 RV | 8 | 17 | 27 | 4 | 2 | Giuliani +10 |
| Insider Advantage | 10/02 - 10/02 | 725 A | 10 | 16 | 29 | 6 | 3 | Giuliani +13 |
| Strategic Vision (R) | 09/21 - 09/23 | LV | 6 | 9 | 35 | 5 | 3 | Giuliani +26 |
| Rasmussen | 09/19 - 09/19 | 508 LV | 12 | 11 | 29 | 3 | -- | Giuliani +17 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 09/17 - 09/18 | 637 LV | 11 | 12 | 24 | 5 | 3 | Giuliani +12 |
| Mason-Dixon | 09/17 - 09/18 | 400 LV | 9 | 13 | 24 | 6 | 1 | Giuliani +11 |
| ARG* | 09/15 - 09/18 | 600 LV | 18 | 14 | 26 | 3 | 3 | Giuliani +8 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 09/06 - 09/10 | 500 RV | 9 | 8 | 21 | 4 | -- | Giuliani +12 |
| Quinnipiac | 09/03 - 09/09 | 438 RV | 10 | 11 | 28 | 2 | 2 | Giuliani +17 |
| Rasmussen | 08/13 - 08/13 | 689 LV | 7 | 15 | 30 | 5 | -- | Giuliani +15 |
| Strategic Vision (R) | 08/10 - 08/12 | LV | 8 | 10 | 34 | 3 | 2 | Giuliani +24 |
| Quinnipiac | 07/30 - 08/06 | 366 RV | 11 | 9 | 26 | 2 | -- | Giuliani +15 |
| Mason-Dixon | 07/23 - 07/26 | 400 LV | 11 | 7 | 21 | 5 | -- | Giuliani +10 |
| Rasmussen | 07/18 - 07/19 | 490 LV | 13 | 13 | 22 | 1 | -- | Giuliani +9 |
| Quinnipiac | 07/12 - 07/16 | 433 RV | 10 | 9 | 30 | 1 | 1 | Giuliani +20 |
| ARG* | 07/12 - 07/15 | 600 LV | 7 | 12 | 33 | 1 | 1 | Giuliani +21 |
| Quinnipiac | 06/18 - 06/25 | 373 LV | 13 | 6 | 27 | 1 | 2 | Giuliani +14 |
| Strategic Vision (R) | 06/15 - 06/17 | LV | 11 | 8 | 30 | 2 | 2 | Giuliani +19 |
| Insider Advantage | 06/06 - 06/07 | 500 RV | 12 | 17 | 32 | -- | 1 | Giuliani +15 |
| Zogby | 06/04 - 06/06 | 326 LV | 12 | 12 | 31 | 2 | -- | Giuliani +19 |
| Quinnipiac | 05/29 - 06/04 | 467 LV | 10 | 8 | 31 | -- | -- | Giuliani +21 |
| Strategic Vision (R) | 05/11 - 05/13 | LV | 20 | 5 | 32 | 2 | 2 | Giuliani +12 |
| St. Petersburg Times | 05/06 - 05/09 | RV | 15 | 14 | 29 | -- | -- | Giuliani +14 |
| ARG* | 05/04 - 05/08 | 600 LV | 18 | 11 | 31 | 1 | -- | Giuliani +13 |
| Quinnipiac | 04/17 - 04/24 | 388 RV | 15 | 7 | 38 | -- | -- | Giuliani +23 |
| UNF | 04/02 - 04/13 | 256 LV | 14 | 6 | 31 | 1 | -- | Giuliani +17 |
| Quinnipiac | 03/21 - 03/27 | 445 RV | 15 | 5 | 35 | -- | 1 | Giuliani +20 |
| Strategic Vision (R) | 03/09 - 03/11 | LV | 21 | 8 | 36 | 2 | -- | Giuliani +15 |
| Quinnipiac | 02/25 - 03/04 | 429 RV | 18 | 6 | 38 | 1 | -- | Giuliani +20 |
| ARG* | 02/23 - 02/27 | 600 LV | 38 | 7 | 28 | 1 | -- | McCain +10 |
| Quinnipiac | 01/29 - 02/04 | 387 RV | 23 | 6 | 29 | -- | -- | Giuliani +6 |
All Commentary & News Stories
- Next President Confronts Staggering to-Do List - Susan Page, USA Today
- McCain's Duty to Expose Real Obama - Tony Blankley, Washington Times
- Obama Drowning Out McCain in TV Ads - Jeanne Cummings, Politico
- The Great Realignment is at Hand - Brent Budowsky, The Hill
- Obama's Abortion Extremism - Robert George, Public Discourse
- Palin, McCain Stir Up Storm of Ugly Racism - Andrew Greeley, Chicago ST
- Character Does Matter in Our Leaders - Peter Wehner, Commentary
- The Ayers Attack is Not "Country First" - Thomas Frank, Wall St. Journal
- When Guilt by Association is Fair Game - Jeff Jacoby, Boston Globe
- Western Democrats On The Rise - Reid Wilson, RealClearPolitics
- Ambushed by History - Michael Gerson, Washington Post
- From 2 Rivals, 2 Economic Prescriptions - Jackie Calmes, New York Times
- Which John McCain Will Show Up to Debate? - Mike Madden, Salon
- Obama's Truthfulness in Question - Ruben Navarrette, SD Union-Tribune
- The Irrelevance of John McCain - Norm Kurz, Huffington Post
- ACORN Becoming an Embarrassment for Obama - Dick Morris, The Hill
- McCain's Silence Lends Weight to Race-Baiting - Cynthia Tucker, Atlanta JC
- Make-Believe Maverick - Tim Dickinson, Rolling Stone
- "When You Spread the Wealth Around" - New York Post
- Next President Will Need to Bridge Partisan Divides - Los Angeles Times
- The Reregulation Mantra? - John Stossel, RealClearPolitics
- Democrats' Plan: New Deal 2.0? - Martin Kady, The Politico
- The Supreme Court Stakes - Terry Eastland, Weekly Standard
- Questions for the Next Debate - Richard Cohen, New York Daily News
- To the Public, Obama Looking Like a President - Jay Cost, RealClearPolitics
- The Permanent (Smear) Campaign - Paul Waldman, American Prospect
- Wright 101 - Stanley Kurtz, National Review Online
- McCain and The Cult of the Hero - John Judis, The New Republic
- Homeschooling Will Explode Under Obama - Andrew Breitbart, Wash Times
- For GOP, A Grim November Beckons - Charlie Cook, National Journal
- Fiscal Conservatives Wonder If They Nominated a Lemon - Jennifer Rubin, NY Observer
- 'Intellectual' Label Not Hurting Obama So Far - Julian Zelizer, CNN
- McCain and the Raging Right - E.J. Dionne, Washington Post
- Taking Aim at Obama's Stance on Gun Control - John Lott, Philly Inquirer
- The Check and Balance Candidate - Dick Polman, Philadelphia Inquirer
- Who's in Control of McCain's Campaign? - Roger Simon, The Politico
- Big Change is Indeed Coming - Mark Penn, The Politico
- It's All About the Economy - Rick Klein and Hope Ditto, ABC News
- Negative Advertising vs. 'Real Issues' - Thomas Sowell, RealClearPolitics
- The GOP Is a Mess and a Fraud - Eugene Robinson, Washington Post
- Hopes Quickly Fade For a Postpartisan Era - Gerald Seib, Wall St. Journal
- Beware a Liberal Washington - Fred Barnes, Weekly Standard
- McCain Plays the Race Card - Derrick Jackson, Boston Globe
- Not Raising Rev. Wright is Political Malpractice - Tucker Carlson, DB
- A PreMortem for The McCain Campaign - Howard Wolfson, New Republic
- The Public is Disgusted w/Our Government - Ted Nugent, Human Events
- Crisis is Redefining Our Leaders - Gideon Rachman, Financial Times
- Democrats May Have a Better Deal - Peter Canellos, Boston Globe
- A Maverick No More - Boston Globe
- Obama and Acorn - Wall Street Journal
- John McCain, Reveling in Anger - Steve Chapman, Chicago Tribune
- Returning the Focus to Obama - Dan Balz, Washington Post
- The Case Against McCain and Palin - Christopher Hitchens, Slate
- Obama Will Fundamentally Alter Nation's Character - Mark Levin, NRO
- A History of Smears Against Black Leaders - Adam Serwer, Am. Prospect
- Racism, Racism, Racism! - Neal Boortz, Nealz Nuze
- The GOP and the Perils of Populism - Gregory Rodriguez, Los Angeles Times
- On Gallup's Two Likely Voter Models - Jay Cost, RealClearPolitics
- Race and the Race - Gary Bauer, The Politico
- Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Polls - John Podhoretz, Commentary
- McCain's Closing Arguments - Hugh Hewitt, Townhall
- Two Solitudes - David Warren, Ottawa Citizen
- Is Obama's Lead Insurmountable? - George Stephanopoulos, ABC News
- It Ain't Over 'Til It's Over - Adam Nagourney, New York Times
- Obama's Weathermen Pals Should Worry You - Deroy Murdock, NRO
- 'The McCain-Bush Economy' - John Nichols, The Nation
- Sticks, Stones, and ACORNs - Dick Polman, Philadelphia Inquirer
- Markets Fear Obama's Policies - Charles Gasparino, New York Post
- GOP Dirty Tricks 2.0 - Adam Doster, In These Times
- Politics of Smear Won't Work This Year - Gary Younge, The Guardian
- History Suggests McCain Faces an Uphill Battle - John Harwood, NY Times
- 4 Ways McCain Could Still Turn It Around - Walter Shapiro, Salon
- Obama's Campaign Has Failed to Transcend Race - Ruth Ann Dailey, PPG
- Acts of Rage, Hate in McCain Corner - Les Payne, Newsday
- No Room in America for Class Warfare - Nolan Finley, Detroit News
- How Obama Got Joe Six-Pack - John Heilemann, New York Magazine
- Jumping Ship on McCain.... - Victor Davis Hanson, Pajamas Media
- McCain Should Fire His Campaign - Bill Kristol, New York Times
- Clouds on O-Rizon in Sunshine State - Charles Hurt, New York Post
- Obama Gains as New South Trumps Old Race Card - Al Hunt, Bloomberg
- Selective Memory & The Bradley Effect - Lance Tarrance, RealClearPolitics
- Put Country First - Washington Post
- Obama's 95% Illusion - Wall Street Journal
- A Landslide or a Squeaker? - Peter Brown, Wall Street Journal
- The Politics of Smear Won't Work - Gary Younge, The Guardian
- Obama Camp Relying Heavily on Ground Effort - Alec MacGillis, Wash Post
- Daley Reins in The Chicago Radicals - John Kass, Chicago Tribune
- Anatomy of Attacks - John Avlon, The Politico
- McCain Plays Willie Horton Card - Errol Louis, New York Daily News
- Open Letter to Bob Schieffer - Ken Blackwell, Townhall
- Both Obama & McCain Are Friends of Israel - Alan Dershowitz, NYDN
- Bush Can Still Build Bridges - David Ignatius, Washington Post
- Leadership in the Economic Meltdown - Sen. Barack Obama, NY Daily News
- Crushing the Media's 'Rage' Narrative - Michelle Malkin, MichelleMalkin.com
- Candidates Dodge Economic Truths - Howard Fineman, Newsweek
- Obama Rise on White Working Class Woes - David Von Drehle, Time
- Steve Schmidt: The Man Behind McCain - Holly Bailey, Newsweek
- Red Meat Stains McCain - Clarence Page, Chicago Tribune
- Do Polls Lie About Race? - Kate Zernike, New York Times
- What Honeymoon? - David Broder, Washington Post