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RealClearPolitics Election 2014

Two Scenarios for Tuesday

The public polling right now is just sort of weird.  The president's job approval nationally is 42 percent.  This should be consistent with a terrible midterm election for Democrats. ...

In N.C. Race, It's Obama's Record vs. Legislature's

CHARLOTTE -- North Carolina helped Barack Obama make history six years ago, when the Illinois senator became the first Democratic...

Palin Predicts "Shocker" in Louisiana Senate Race

All of the polls are forecasting a runoff election in Louisiana next month between incumbent Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu and Republican Rep. Bill...

Real Clear Politics Election 2014

Democrats Lead Republicans in N.C. Early Voting

Democrats lead Republicans, 48.1 percent-31.6 percent, in North Carolina early voting and absentee ballots returned as of Thursday morning, according to the state Board of Elections. These results...

Can Nunn Re-create Georgia's Dem Coalition?

Georgia has a surprisingly (to some) close Senate race.  Businessman David Perdue leads Michelle Nunn by 0.5 percentage points in the RCP Average. If neither candidate reaches 50 percent, the...

Democrats' Ballots Lead in Iowa Absentee Voting

Iowa Democrats lead Republicans there in the percentage of absentee ballots returned as of Wednesday, according to official results published by Iowa Secretary of State Matt Schultz. The margin is...

Republican Ballots Lead in Colorado Early Voting

Republicans lead Democrats, 41.9 percent-32.5 percent, in early voting in Colorado, according to official results published by Colorado Secretary of State Scott Gessler. These results are promising...

Poll: Dems Hold Advantage Among Latino Voters

More than half of Hispanic registered voters believe that immigration "is not a deal-breaker in determining their vote," according to a new Pew survey, which also shows that Democrats are...

Shaheen Popular in NH, But Struggles With DC Albatross

BERLIN, N.H. -- A smattering of French could be heard inside a local senior center cafeteria on Monday as diners waited to be served their subsidized lunches in this city of fewer than 10,000...

Poll: Ernst Widens Lead in Iowa Senate Race

Iowa U.S. Senate hopeful Joni Ernst is beginning to pull away from her opponent, Bruce Braley, according to a new Quinnipiac University survey.  Forty-nine percent of likely voters back the...

In Blue Rhode Island, Why Is Governor Race Close?

Rhode Island is one of the bluest states in the country. In 2012 President Obama won there with nearly two-thirds of the vote, and the state’s entire congressional delegation is Democratic....

Putting the Emerging Dem Majority Theory to the Test

For political reporters, the home stretch is in sight for the 2014 elections.  For analysts like myself, the main event really occurs the following morning, when we get our first new data in two...

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