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<title><![CDATA[David Byler - Articles - RealClearPolitics]]></title><link>http://www.RealClearPolicy.com/authors/rss/archive/29572.xml</link><description><![CDATA[David Byler]]></description><category domain="29572">Author</category><item>
							<title><![CDATA[A Painful Retooling Is Coming for the Democratic Party]]></title>
							<link>https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/aoc-bernie-sanders-rallies-democratic-tea-party-rcna198199</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/aoc-bernie-sanders-rallies-democratic-tea-party-rcna198199]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 01 Apr 2025 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[A new approach is not a tea party. It's a slightly-more-turbulent-than-usual reshuffle.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Conservatives Have Already Won the Culture War]]></title>
							<link>https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/opinion/opinions-conservatives-already-won-the-culture-war-they-just-dont-know-it/ar-AAGRsA8</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/opinion/opinions-conservatives-already-won-the-culture-war-they-just-dont-know-it/ar-AAGRsA8]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sun, 08 Sep 2019 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[For both conservatives and liberals, the 2020 election feels like a pivotal moment in the United States'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';' long-running culture wars. That'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s understandable but mistaken. On the fundamental question of the culture war '&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('”').';' how much Americans respect and want to preserve our core...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Why Hasn't Elizabeth Warren Achieved Liftoff?]]></title>
							<link>https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/why-hasnt-elizabeth-warren-achieved-liftoff/2019/04/09/126cac07-9813-4d37-b3cd-86a6ebde09e6_story.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/why-hasnt-elizabeth-warren-achieved-liftoff/2019/04/09/126cac07-9813-4d37-b3cd-86a6ebde09e6_story.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 10 Apr 2019 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[She has proposed a lot of policies, but she hasn't found her breakout moment.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Martha McSally's Under-the-Radar Surge]]></title>
							<link>https://www.weeklystandard.com/david-byler/martha-mcsallys-under-the-radar-surge</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.weeklystandard.com/david-byler/martha-mcsallys-under-the-radar-surge]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 16 Oct 2018 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The Republican win probability has doubled in Arizona.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Best &amp; Worst Case Scenarios for Both Parties in Nov]]></title>
							<link>https://www.weeklystandard.com/david-byler/swingseat-update-hope-for-the-best-expect-the-worst</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.weeklystandard.com/david-byler/swingseat-update-hope-for-the-best-expect-the-worst]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Thu, 27 Sep 2018 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The basic goal here is to emphasize the uncertainty of the forecast and show readers that they need to be looking at the error around every forecast, not just the most likely outcome.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[One Chart Explains How Vulnerable Republicans Are]]></title>
							<link>http://www.weeklystandard.com/one-chart-explains-how-vulnerable-republicans-are/article/2011922</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.weeklystandard.com/one-chart-explains-how-vulnerable-republicans-are/article/2011922]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 14 Mar 2018 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[In a normal year, a special congressional election in Pennsylvania's 18th District (a highly red area that includes the southern suburbs of Pittsburgh and surrounding rural areas) wouldn't be a huge deal. Trump carried the district by about 20 points in 2016, so Republicans should have...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[How Trump Hurts the Republican Party]]></title>
							<link>http://www.weeklystandard.com/the-republican-party-in-the-age-of-trump/article/2011619</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.weeklystandard.com/the-republican-party-in-the-age-of-trump/article/2011619]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sun, 18 Feb 2018 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Most Americans have probably heard the parable of the blind men and the elephant. There are different versions of the story, but the basic idea is that a group of blind men encounter an elephant, and they each touch different parts of it. One man feels the tail, another the leg, another...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[As Goes Trump, So Goes the GOP]]></title>
							<link>http://www.weeklystandard.com/as-goes-trump-so-goes-the-gop/article/2011185</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.weeklystandard.com/as-goes-trump-so-goes-the-gop/article/2011185]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Thu, 18 Jan 2018 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Donald Trump is historically unpopular. At the end of 2017, the three major polling aggregators'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('ƒ').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('¢').';'??the HuffPost Pollster, Real Clear Politics, and FiveThirtyEight'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('ƒ').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('¢').';'??put his approval rating at 40.4, 40, and 37.9 percent, respectively. According to FiveThirtyEight's historical...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[The Republican Civil War Heads to Arizona]]></title>
							<link>http://www.weeklystandard.com/the-republican-civil-war-heads-to-arizona/article/2011095</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.weeklystandard.com/the-republican-civil-war-heads-to-arizona/article/2011095]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Thu, 11 Jan 2018 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[On Tuesday, former Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio, jumped into the race for Arizona's now-open Senate seat. Arpaio is, to put it mildly, controversial. He was recently pardoned by President Trump for contempt of court (the case related to racial profiling), he's publicly questioned...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[The GOP Has a Turnout Problem. Plus a Few Others...]]></title>
							<link>http://www.weeklystandard.com/republicans-have-a-turnout-problem.-also-a-few-other-problems./article/2010990</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.weeklystandard.com/republicans-have-a-turnout-problem.-also-a-few-other-problems./article/2010990]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 02 Jan 2018 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[As far as elections go, 2017 wasn't a good year for Republicans. Democrats won gubernatorial races in New Jersey and Virginia, frequently outperformed their baselines in special elections across the country and won a senate seat in Alabama'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('ƒ').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('¢').';'??arguably the most GOP-friendly state in the...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[A Rising Tide in Alabama? Roy Moore Gains Ground in Polls]]></title>
							<link>http://www.weeklystandard.com/a-rising-tide-in-alabama-roy-moore-gains-ground-in-polls./article/2010643</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.weeklystandard.com/a-rising-tide-in-alabama-roy-moore-gains-ground-in-polls./article/2010643]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Thu, 30 Nov 2017 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The Alabama special Senate Election is a bit of a rollercoaster. Republican Roy Moore held a real lead over Democrat Doug Jones for most of the race'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('ƒ').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('¢').';'??until the Washington Post and other outlets published credible allegations that Moore had inappropriate sexual contact with teenagers...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Trump Is (Still) Outpolling House Republicans]]></title>
							<link>http://www.weeklystandard.com/president-trump-is-still-outpolling-house-republicans/article/2010441</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.weeklystandard.com/president-trump-is-still-outpolling-house-republicans/article/2010441]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Mon, 13 Nov 2017 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Are Republicans going to lose the House in 2018? And if they do, will it be President Trump's fault?It's impossible to know the answer to the first question with any certainty at this point. While major indicators show that Democrats are in good shape for 2018 (polling, incumbent...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Will the 2018 House Elections Be 2006 All Over Again?]]></title>
							<link>https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/09/14/will_the_2018_house_elections_be_2006_all_over_again_134996.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/09/14/will_the_2018_house_elections_be_2006_all_over_again_134996.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Thu, 14 Sep 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Will Democrats win control of the House of Representatives in 2018?
That'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s the million-dollar question for election wonks. If Democrats take the House, they will be able to block President Trump'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s agenda in the same way House Republicans blocked President Obama'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s after the...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[So Far, the GOP Isn't Outpacing Trump's Approval]]></title>
							<link>https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/09/12/so_far_the_gop_isnt_outpacing_trumps_approval__134970.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/09/12/so_far_the_gop_isnt_outpacing_trumps_approval__134970.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 12 Sep 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Presidential approval matters in midterms -- but how?
Political scientists and analysts have puzzled over this question for years in academic journals and other wonkish publications. In July, I made a small contribution to the large body of existing thought, essentially finding that in...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Is Jeff Flake's Re-election in Jeopardy?]]></title>
							<link>https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/09/06/is_jeff_flakes_re-election_in_jeopardy__134911.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/09/06/is_jeff_flakes_re-election_in_jeopardy__134911.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 06 Sep 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[If you read any political commentary over the last few weeks, you probably heard that Arizona Sen. Jeff Flake has problems. He'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s in a feud with a president from his own party. His primary challenger led him in a recent poll. He may have trouble winning the general election in 2018...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Can Kid Rock Become Michigan's Next Senator?]]></title>
							<link>https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/08/21/can_kid_rock_become_michigans_next_senator_134792.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/08/21/can_kid_rock_become_michigans_next_senator_134792.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Mon, 21 Aug 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA['&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('œ').';'How could an entertainer with no political experience and a long history of controversial comments ever win one of the most important political positions in the United States?'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('�').';'
No, that'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s not a quote from last year'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s presidential election. For better or worse, it...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Five Theories on Trump's Stable Approval Rating]]></title>
							<link>https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/08/01/five_theories_on_trumps_stable_approval_rating__134624.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/08/01/five_theories_on_trumps_stable_approval_rating__134624.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 01 Aug 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[For the last few months, the Trump presidency has presented analysts with a weird puzzle. The news has been chaotic -- Congress has made multiple attempts to pass new health care legislation, stories tied to Russian interference in the election seem to come out daily, various key White...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Why Manchin Is Drawing Top-Tier GOP Challengers in W.Va.]]></title>
							<link>https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/07/28/why_manchin_is_drawing_top-tier_gop_challengers_in_wva_134594.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/07/28/why_manchin_is_drawing_top-tier_gop_challengers_in_wva_134594.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Fri, 28 Jul 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Anyone who follows West Virginia politics knows that Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin is well-liked by constituents. In 2012, he won re-election by 24 percentage points while President Obama lost the state by 27. He bested his opponent by 10 points during the Republican wave of 2010 (winning...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Is Trump's Approval Rating the House GOP's 2018 Ceiling?]]></title>
							<link>https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/07/13/is_trumps_approval_rating_the_house_gops_2018_ceiling_134446.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/07/13/is_trumps_approval_rating_the_house_gops_2018_ceiling_134446.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Thu, 13 Jul 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Will Democrats take back the House in 2018?
There are a lot of ways to attack this question, and of course no way to be certain of the answer. It'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s clear that a wide variety of factors (e.g. how the electoral map is drawn, the national political environment, which incumbents choose...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Assessing Joe Donnelly's Re-election Chances in Indiana]]></title>
							<link>https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/07/11/assessing_joe_donnellys_re-election_chances_in_indiana__134424.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/07/11/assessing_joe_donnellys_re-election_chances_in_indiana__134424.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 11 Jul 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Sometimes, as the time-worn sports adage goes, it'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s better to be lucky than good.
In the wake of the 2012 Senate elections, a number of Republicans were probably murmuring that phrase under their breath. Democrats had netted two seats in the upper chamber, partially because...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Can Heitkamp Win Again in Red North Dakota?]]></title>
							<link>https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/06/23/can_heitkamp_win_again_in_red_north_dakota_134267.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/06/23/can_heitkamp_win_again_in_red_north_dakota_134267.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Fri, 23 Jun 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[If you were to ask nearly any political analyst or forecaster which Democratic senators are most vulnerable in 2018, Heidi Heitkamp would almost certainly be on their lists. The North Dakota lawmaker, elected by a narrow margin in 2012, has been performing a delicate balancing act:...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Three Takeaways From the Virginia Primary]]></title>
							<link>https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/06/14/three_takeaways_from_the_virginia_primary_134189.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/06/14/three_takeaways_from_the_virginia_primary_134189.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 14 Jun 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Virginia Republicans and Democrats selected their nominees for governor and other state and local offices on Tuesday, with Ed Gillespie now set to face off against Lt. Gov. Ralph Northam for the top office. While the Old Dominion race hasn'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'t drawn the national attention that...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[How Hillary Clinton's Party Produced Bernie Sanders]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/05/23/how_hillary_clintons_party_produced_bernie_sanders_133963.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/05/23/how_hillary_clintons_party_produced_bernie_sanders_133963.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 23 May 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Why Bernie Sanders? Why in 2016 (and beyond)?
For the past two years, virtually everyone who'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s interested in Democratic politics has asked some variation of those two questions. Sanders is atypical -- he'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s consistently to the left of almost all of his Senate colleagues, his...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Sizing Up the 2018 Gubernatorial Map]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/05/22/sizing_up_the_2018_gubernatorial_map__133944.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/05/22/sizing_up_the_2018_gubernatorial_map__133944.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Mon, 22 May 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Over the past few weeks, we'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'ve established that the 2018 Senate map is worrisome for Democrats, but what about the gubernatorial map? An enormous number of the country'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s laws are made at the state level and, perhaps more significantly, many of the governors elected in 2018 will...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Preview 2018 Senate Results With RCP's Interactive Tool]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/05/15/preview_2018_senate_results_with_rcps_interactive_tool.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/05/15/preview_2018_senate_results_with_rcps_interactive_tool.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Mon, 15 May 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[What will happen to the Senate next year?'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('‚').';'  This is one of the crucial questions as we start to tiptoe toward the 2018 midterms.'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('‚').';'  Democrats are facing an awful map '&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('“').';' not the worst one ever, but one under which we might expect Republicans to make gains in an adequate...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[How Much Do Special Elections Tell Us About the Midterms?]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/05/11/how_much_do_special_elections_tell_us_about_the_midterms.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/05/11/how_much_do_special_elections_tell_us_about_the_midterms.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Thu, 11 May 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The off-year is a weird time to do quantitative elections analysis. During the 2016 cycle, the political wonk world was getting hit by a firehose of polling, news stories, social media data, election results and more on a near-daily basis. But since then, the elections information flow...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[How Bad Is the Democratic Senate Map for 2018?]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/05/09/how_bad_is_the_democratic_senate_map_for_2018_133823.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/05/09/how_bad_is_the_democratic_senate_map_for_2018_133823.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 09 May 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Right now, the stars seem aligned for Democratic gains in 2018. President Trump'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s approval rating is low, Democrats lead in the House generic ballot and special elections show Republicans losing ground with some voters. It'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s still a long way to the midterms and Trump'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Large-City Voting Trends Reflect Those of the Nation]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/05/04/large-city_voting_trends_reflect_those_of_the_nation_133792.html</link>
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							<pubDate>Thu, 04 May 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[A few months ago, Sean Trende and I wrote a five-part series that emphasized the role of the urban vs. rural split in Donald Trump'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s presidential win. The basic thrust of the series was that rural areas and towns have become increasingly Republican while major urban centers have...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[What the Virginia Governor Race May Portend for 2018]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/04/20/what_the_virginia_governor_race_may_portend_for_2018_133655.html</link>
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							<pubDate>Thu, 20 Apr 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[People often complain about how frequently the U.S. holds elections. That'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s understandable. Only six months after a national election in which 60 percent of eligible adults cast their ballots, voters in Kansas, Georgia and California have had to vote to fill congressional seats. And...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[How Trump Picked the Democratic Lock and Won the Presidency]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/04/12/how_trump_picked_the_democratic_lock_and_won_the_presidency_133571.html</link>
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							<pubDate>Wed, 12 Apr 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>David Byler</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The following is an excerpt from "Demographic Coalitions: How Trump Picked the Democratic Lock and Won the Presidency" '&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('“').';' David Byler'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s chapter in the newly published "Trumped: The 2016 Election That Broke All the Rules" (from Rowman &amp; Littlefield). Ellipses indicate skipped...]]></description>
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