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<title><![CDATA[Steven Shepard - Articles - RealClearPolitics]]></title><link>http://www.RealClearPolicy.com/authors/rss/archive/22786.xml</link><description><![CDATA[Steven Shepard]]></description><category domain="22786">Author</category><item>
							<title><![CDATA[5 Takeaways From the Latest Polls]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2024/09/08/kamala-harris-donald-trump-poll-takeaways-00177903</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2024/09/08/kamala-harris-donald-trump-poll-takeaways-00177903]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 10 Sep 2024 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The stakes for Tuesday'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are enormous.'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('‚').';']]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Democratic Pollsters Have a Warning]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/22/democrat-pollsters-kamala-harris-00176065</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/22/democrat-pollsters-kamala-harris-00176065]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 24 Aug 2024 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The Democratic Party'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s pollsters have spent the past three and a half years preparing for the next 75 days.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Can Harris Keep the Lead? Five Numbers To Watch]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/14/kamala-harris-polls-donald-trump-00174050</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/14/kamala-harris-polls-donald-trump-00174050]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Thu, 15 Aug 2024 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Donald Trump has slipped into second place. Here are the numbers to watch that could predict a bounceback.'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('‚').';']]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[It&rsquo;s On (for Now): Biden and Trump Agree to 2 Debates]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2024/05/15/biden-proposes-2-debates-with-trump-ditching-bipartisan-commission-00158082</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2024/05/15/biden-proposes-2-debates-with-trump-ditching-bipartisan-commission-00158082]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 15 May 2024 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Having spent months avoiding direct engagement on when and where to debate, both Donald Trump and Joe Biden seemed to agree on a time and place in a matter of minutes on Wednesday, setting up high-stakes showdowns in late June and mid September.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[What To Watch in Today's Primaries]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/19/ohio-primaries-what-to-watch-00147705</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/19/ohio-primaries-what-to-watch-00147705]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 19 Mar 2024 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Haley Needs To Change the SC GOP To Win. Good Luck]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/24/nikki-haley-sc-electorate-00142942</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/24/nikki-haley-sc-electorate-00142942]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 24 Feb 2024 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The state's open primary would technically allow a candidate relying on moderate and liberal Trump opponents to compete, but it's rarely, if ever, worked.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[How It Would Work If Dems Were To Replace Biden]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/02/12/joe-biden-democrat-plan-b-nominee-00140790</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/02/12/joe-biden-democrat-plan-b-nominee-00140790]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Mon, 12 Feb 2024 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The political and procedural steps for how to pick a new presidential nominee.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[What the NY-3 Special Election Tells Us About the Suburbs]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/10/new-york-special-election-suburbs-00140796</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/10/new-york-special-election-suburbs-00140796]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sun, 11 Feb 2024 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The race between former Rep. Tom Suozzi and Mazi Melesa Pilip could provide clues for both parties on immigration and crime as they gear up for 2024.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Say It Ain't Snow. Iowa's Forecast Is Terrible]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/08/iowa-weather-campaign-00134337</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/08/iowa-weather-campaign-00134337]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 09 Jan 2024 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[If you like a foot of snow and single digit temperatures, then this is the caucus for you.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[24 for '24: The Numbers That Will Shape a Crucial Year]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/30/2024-election-numbers-00133327</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/30/2024-election-numbers-00133327]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 30 Dec 2023 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[From Biden's approval rating to the national murder rate, here are 24 numbers to watch this year.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Even Convicting Trump Might Not Save Biden]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/16/why-a-trump-conviction-might-not-save-bidens-reelection-00132125</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/16/why-a-trump-conviction-might-not-save-bidens-reelection-00132125]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 16 Dec 2023 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Pollsters have already started to explore what effect, if any, a criminal conviction before the election would have on Trump's support.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Why Haley Polls Better Against Biden Than Trump Does]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/09/haley-electability-trump-biden-polls-00130926</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/09/haley-electability-trump-biden-polls-00130926]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sun, 10 Dec 2023 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[A POLITICO analysis shows the former South Carolina governor is winning swaths of moderate voters who'd pick Joe Biden if Donald Trump wins the GOP nomination.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Biden's Poll Numbers Are Bad, and They're Getting Worse]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2023/11/25/biden-polls-worse-trump-00128536</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2023/11/25/biden-polls-worse-trump-00128536]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 25 Nov 2023 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Trump's vote share in national polls is higher than at any time in the past year.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Flood of Retirements Is Rocking the 2024 Elections]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2023/11/18/congress-retirements-2024-elections-00127883</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2023/11/18/congress-retirements-2024-elections-00127883]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 21 Nov 2023 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Nine incumbents have already announced this month they aren't running for reelection next year.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[10 Races To Watch on Tuesday's Election Day]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2023/11/04/10-biggest-races-election-day-00125386</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2023/11/04/10-biggest-races-election-day-00125386]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Mon, 06 Nov 2023 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The last big set of elections before 2024 will have a lot of lessons. Here's a cheat sheet.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Will Biden's Unpopularity Drag Down Beshear in Kentucky?]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2023/11/03/biden-andy-beshear-kentucky-governors-race-00124746</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2023/11/03/biden-andy-beshear-kentucky-governors-race-00124746]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 04 Nov 2023 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Kentucky likes Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear '&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('”').';' but dislikes Joe Biden. The GOP thinks they can use that to win.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[The Real Threat to Biden Isn't in the Democratic Primary]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/28/dean-philips-joe-biden-threat-00124082</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/28/dean-philips-joe-biden-threat-00124082]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 28 Oct 2023 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The danger for President Joe Biden isn't that Rep. Dean Phillips is a threat in the primary.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[RFK Jr. Goes Independent. Does That Hurt Biden or Trump?]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/09/rfk-jr-independent-campaign-00120607</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/09/rfk-jr-independent-campaign-00120607]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 10 Oct 2023 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Recent polling shows he'd be the most formidable independent candidate since Ross Perot.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[What Next Month's Virginia Elections Could Say About 2024]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/07/virginia-legislative-elections-2024-00120467</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/07/virginia-legislative-elections-2024-00120467]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 07 Oct 2023 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The close race for control of the state legislature will tell us a lot about which party has the upper hand going into next year.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Trump's GOP Rivals Say He's Unelectable. Polls Disagree]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2023/09/27/trump-challengers-electability-polls-00118389</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2023/09/27/trump-challengers-electability-polls-00118389]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Thu, 28 Sep 2023 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Republicans' debate-stage arguments that Trump will lose to Biden aren't bearing out in the polls.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Early Ad Blitz Underscores Historically Weak Biden Position]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2023/09/09/what-an-unprecedented-biden-ad-blitz-says-about-his-reelection-fight-00114838</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2023/09/09/what-an-unprecedented-biden-ad-blitz-says-about-his-reelection-fight-00114838]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 09 Sep 2023 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[A super PAC is spending $13 million far ahead of the normal advertising timeline.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[The Leaked Internal Poll Numbers Scrambling GOP Primary]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2023/09/02/desantis-gop-primary-internal-polling-00113716</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2023/09/02/desantis-gop-primary-internal-polling-00113716]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 02 Sep 2023 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Who's behind that new leaked poll?]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[DeSagging: Florida Governor Drops in Candidate Rankings]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2023/08/26/desantis-drops-ramaswamy-rises-in-polls-00113076</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2023/08/26/desantis-drops-ramaswamy-rises-in-polls-00113076]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 26 Aug 2023 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Donald Trump was wounded, and Ron DeSantis was building a juggernaut.'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('‚').';']]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Why Trump Might Regret Passing on the First Debate]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2023/08/19/2024-debates-matter-00111948</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2023/08/19/2024-debates-matter-00111948]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 23 Aug 2023 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[In recent nominating contests, the nationally televised shoutfests have prompted significant shifts in polling afterward.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[The Mystery of Ramaswamy's Rise in the Polls]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2023/08/12/vivek-ramaswamy-polls-rise-00110937</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2023/08/12/vivek-ramaswamy-polls-rise-00110937]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 12 Aug 2023 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The theories behind the longshot presidential contender's rise.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Close Election in Kentucky Gives Clues for Both Parties]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2023/08/05/what-kentucky-election-will-teach-for-2024-00109645</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2023/08/05/what-kentucky-election-will-teach-for-2024-00109645]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 05 Aug 2023 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[This year's bellwether election could tell us a lot.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Trump Indictment Fails To Dent Lead, DeSantis Flatlines]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2023/06/17/trump-indictment-election-2024-polling-00102522</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2023/06/17/trump-indictment-election-2024-polling-00102522]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 17 Jun 2023 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Three polls conducted after his second indictment show Trump in a comfortable first place.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[First GOP Debate: Who&rsquo;s In, Who&rsquo;s Out, and Who&rsquo;s Sweating]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2023/06/02/first-gop-debate-qualification-00100080</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2023/06/02/first-gop-debate-qualification-00100080]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 03 Jun 2023 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The RNC officially set the debate rules. Let the games begin.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Pollsters Sweat Another Election Day Reckoning]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2022/11/07/final-senate-swing-state-polls-2022-00065501</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2022/11/07/final-senate-swing-state-polls-2022-00065501]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 08 Nov 2022 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Independent polls are painting a very different picture of the midterm election than the Republican-aligned firms pointing to GOP victory.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[GOP Opens Door to Sizable Senate Gains]]></title>
							<link>https://www.politico.com/news/2022/11/04/gop-sizable-senate-gains-00065091</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.politico.com/news/2022/11/04/gop-sizable-senate-gains-00065091]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Fri, 04 Nov 2022 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Steven Shepard</author>
							<description><![CDATA[POLITICO's Election Forecast still rates the Senate as a]]></description>
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