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<title><![CDATA[George Friedman - Articles - RealClearPolitics]]></title><link>http://www.RealClearPolicy.com/authors/rss/archive/16392.xml</link><description><![CDATA[George Friedman]]></description><category domain="16392">Author</category><item>
							<title><![CDATA[Xi's Most Important Line at U.S.-China Summit]]></title>
							<link>https://geopoliticalfutures.com/after-the-u-s-china-summit/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://geopoliticalfutures.com/after-the-u-s-china-summit/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Mon, 18 May 2026 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The summit between presidents Xi Jinping and Donald Trump took place on May 14. The media has focused on the facts that little was achieved and,]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[The American Crisis Intensifies]]></title>
							<link>https://geopoliticalfutures.com/the-american-crisis-intensifies/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://geopoliticalfutures.com/the-american-crisis-intensifies/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 12 Apr 2023 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[As I ooze back to consciousness after COVID-19 had me in its grip for the past few weeks, it has occurred to me that the real story unfolding in the world]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[How the Middle East Has Been Redefined]]></title>
							<link>https://geopoliticalfutures.com/arab-recognition-of-israel-redefines-the-middle-east/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://geopoliticalfutures.com/arab-recognition-of-israel-redefines-the-middle-east/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Fri, 18 Dec 2020 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Last week,'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('‚').';' Morocco'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('‚').';' established diplomatic relations with Israel, joining three other Arab countries '&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('“').';' the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Sudan '&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('“').';' that normalized ties this year. In Morocco'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s case, part of the deal was U.S. recognition of Morocco'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s claim to...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[The Truth About the U.S.-China Thucydides Trap]]></title>
							<link>https://geopoliticalfutures.com/the-truth-about-the-us-china-thucydides-trap/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://geopoliticalfutures.com/the-truth-about-the-us-china-thucydides-trap/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sun, 19 Jul 2020 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[We remember Thucydides as a historian thanks to his documentation of the Peloponnesian War, but we often forget that he was also a philosopher.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[From China to India]]></title>
							<link>https://geopoliticalfutures.com/from-china-to-india/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://geopoliticalfutures.com/from-china-to-india/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 06 Jun 2020 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[U.S.-China relations have been in decline for a long time. The United States had for years provided China with relatively free access to the American market. The United States wanted equivalent access to the Chinese market, but China was unable to grant this. Its industrial base produced...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[The Pressure on China--Does Xi Have Enemies?]]></title>
							<link>https://geopoliticalfutures.com/the-pressure-on-china/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://geopoliticalfutures.com/the-pressure-on-china/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Thu, 21 Nov 2019 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The Chinese People's Liberation Army has begun minor operations to try to quell the unrest in Hong Kong. This is a step that the Chinese hoped to avoid.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Strategic Re-Evaluation in Mideast Was Long Overdue]]></title>
							<link>https://geopoliticalfutures.com/the-origins-of-new-us-turkish-relations/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://geopoliticalfutures.com/the-origins-of-new-us-turkish-relations/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 16 Oct 2019 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[For several years, there has been a significant shift underway in U.S. strategy toward the Middle East, where Washington has consistently sought to avoid combat. The United States is now compelled to seek accommodation with Turkey, a regional power in its own right, based on terms that...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[The Geopolitical Logic of U.S.-China Trade War]]></title>
							<link>https://geopoliticalfutures.com/the-geopolitical-logic-of-the-us-china-trade-war/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://geopoliticalfutures.com/the-geopolitical-logic-of-the-us-china-trade-war/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 27 Aug 2019 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The dispute was decades in the making.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Europe's Border Problem]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2017/10/23/europes_border_problem_112598.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2017/10/23/europes_border_problem_112598.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Fri, 27 Oct 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[For centuries Europe has fought wars over borders. During the 19th century and the first half of the 20th century, Europe?s borders shifted wildly, as empires fragmented, new nations arose and wars...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[North Korea, Nukes and Negotiations]]></title>
							<link>https://geopoliticalfutures.com/north-korea-nukes-negotiations/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://geopoliticalfutures.com/north-korea-nukes-negotiations/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 12 Aug 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The narrative about North Korea, a narrative I believe to be true and have since early March, is simple: The'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('‚').';' North Koreans have reached a point in their nuclear and missile programs'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('‚').';' where they could soon have the capability to strike the United States. The U.S. isn'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'t prepared to...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[In China, a Strategy Born of Weakness]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2017/07/14/in_china_a_strategy_born_of_weakness_112443.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2017/07/14/in_china_a_strategy_born_of_weakness_112443.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Fri, 14 Jul 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[China'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s actions so far in the ongoing North Korean affair'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('‚').';' have been ambiguous. In order to try to understand China'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s strategy toward North Korea, it is necessary to understand China'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s strategy in general. To do that, it is important to recognize the imperatives and...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Negotiating With North Korea]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2017/06/19/negotiating_with_north_korea.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2017/06/19/negotiating_with_north_korea.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Mon, 19 Jun 2017 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[There are signs that the North Korean crisis is easing. These signs are, in my opinion, part of the negotiating process that has been underway in recent weeks. This process has two purposes. The...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[What Donald Trump Understands About the World]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2017/01/20/donald_trump_has_a_coherent_radical_foreign_policy_doctrine_112180.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2017/01/20/donald_trump_has_a_coherent_radical_foreign_policy_doctrine_112180.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sun, 22 Jan 2017 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[During the campaign for the American presidency, Donald Trump promised that in his administration only good things would happen. He was somewhat vague about what precisely was good and what was bad. In this, he was exactly like any other American presidential candidate. Unlike many,...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Putting China on the Defensive]]></title>
							<link>https://geopoliticalfutures.com/trump-taiwan-and-an-uproar/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://geopoliticalfutures.com/trump-taiwan-and-an-uproar/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 07 Dec 2016 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[U.S. President-elect Donald Trump spoke on the telephone with the president of Taiwan. This caused deep upset because it was counter to an understanding in place since President Richard Nixon opened the door with China in 1972. This understanding included an American endorsement of the...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[1929, 1945, 1991...and 2008?]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2016/10/03/2008_interdependence_globalization_nationalism_georgefriedman.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2016/10/03/2008_interdependence_globalization_nationalism_georgefriedman.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Mon, 03 Oct 2016 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[In 2008, the global economy underwent a massive shift away from extremely high growth that started in 1982. Part of the problem was simply the financial chicanery and miscalculations of the subprime crisis. But there was a deeper crisis. An economic boom creates vast inefficiencies, as...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Facing Some Truths Behind Florida Massacre]]></title>
							<link>https://geopoliticalfutures.com/facing-some-truths-behind-the-florida-massacre/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://geopoliticalfutures.com/facing-some-truths-behind-the-florida-massacre/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 15 Jun 2016 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The slaughter in Orlando, Florida on Sunday once again raises the question of what we should do about attacks like this. But before that, we must answer a more fundamental question: Was this a criminal act or an act of war? Answering that question is the key to determining the...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Nationalism Is Rising, Not Fascism]]></title>
							<link>https://geopoliticalfutures.com/nationalism-is-rising-not-fascism/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://geopoliticalfutures.com/nationalism-is-rising-not-fascism/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 01 Jun 2016 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Recently, there have been a number of articles and statements asserting that fascism is rising in Europe, and that Donald Trump is an American example of fascism. This is a misrepresentation of a very real phenomenon. The nation-state is reasserting itself as the primary vehicle of...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Hiroshima and Nagasaki: A Moral Necessity]]></title>
							<link>https://geopoliticalfutures.com/hiroshima-and-nagasaki-a-moral-necessity/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://geopoliticalfutures.com/hiroshima-and-nagasaki-a-moral-necessity/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Fri, 27 May 2016 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[U.S. President Barack Obama will be visiting Hiroshima on Friday, the first sitting American president to do so since the U.S. dropped an atomic bomb on the city 71 years ago. Hiroshima is flourishing today, but was destroyed by the United States'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';' use of the first atomic bomb...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[A U.S. Strategy Beyond the Cold War]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2016/05/16/a_us_strategy_beyond_the_cold_war_111854.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2016/05/16/a_us_strategy_beyond_the_cold_war_111854.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Mon, 16 May 2016 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The United States became the only global power in 1991. In the 45 years prior, it had been locked in a swirling global struggle for primacy with the Soviet Union, and at many moments it did not look like the United States was going to win. Before that, since about the turn of the 20th...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[The Trump Non-Doctrine]]></title>
							<link>https://geopoliticalfutures.com/trump-on-foreign-policy/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://geopoliticalfutures.com/trump-on-foreign-policy/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Fri, 29 Apr 2016 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Following his victories in this week'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s primaries, Donald Trump provided the first systematic view of his foreign policy. Given that there is a reasonable chance that he will be the Republican nominee, and that he has been constantly underestimated, the possibility of his becoming...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Why Putin Went Into Syria]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2016/03/16/why_putin_went_into_syria_111761.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2016/03/16/why_putin_went_into_syria_111761.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 16 Mar 2016 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Russian President Vladimir Putin announced on March 14 that he would begin withdrawing his main forces from Syria. Russia appears to have deployed about 70 aircraft of a variety of types and more than 4,000 support personnel to protect and maintain the aircraft. It was not a major...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[How the Middle East Fell Apart]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2015/06/11/assessing_the_fragmentation_of_the_middle_east_111260.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2015/06/11/assessing_the_fragmentation_of_the_middle_east_111260.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jun 2015 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[The Middle Eastern Balance of Power Matures]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2015/04/01/the_middle_eastern_balance_of_power_matures_111087.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2015/04/01/the_middle_eastern_balance_of_power_matures_111087.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 01 Apr 2015 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Last week, a coalition of predominantly Sunni Arab countries, primarily from the Arabian Peninsula and organized by Saudi Arabia, launched airstrikes in Yemen that have continued into this week. The airstrikes target Yemeni al-Houthis, a Shiite sect supported by Iran, and their Sunni...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[A War Between Two Worlds]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2015/01/14/a_war_between_two_worlds_110905.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2015/01/14/a_war_between_two_worlds_110905.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 14 Jan 2015 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The murders of cartoonists who made fun of Islam and of Jews shopping for their Sabbath meals by Islamists in Paris last week have galvanized the world. A galvanized world is always dangerous. Galvanized people can do careless things. It is in the extreme and emotion-laden moments that...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[The Top 5 Events of 2014]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2014/12/31/the_top_5_events_of_2014_110880.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2014/12/31/the_top_5_events_of_2014_110880.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 03 Jan 2015 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA['Tis the season to make lists, and a list shall be made. We tend to see each year as extraordinary, and in some senses, each year is. But in a broader sense, 2014 was merely another year in a long chain of human triumph and misery. Wars have been waged, marvelous things have been...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Russia Seen From Within]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2014/12/17/russia_seen_from_within_110862.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2014/12/17/russia_seen_from_within_110862.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Thu, 18 Dec 2014 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[The Islamic State Reshapes the Middle East]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2014/11/26/the_islamic_state_reshapes_the_middle_east_110823.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2014/11/26/the_islamic_state_reshapes_the_middle_east_110823.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Thu, 27 Nov 2014 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Nuclear talks with Iran have failed to yield an agreement, but the deadline for a deal has been extended without a hitch. What would have been a significant crisis a year ago, replete with threats and anxiety, has been handled without drama or difficulty.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[The Foreign Policy of a Failed Presidency]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2014/11/19/the_foreign_policy_of_a_failed_presidency_110809.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2014/11/19/the_foreign_policy_of_a_failed_presidency_110809.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 19 Nov 2014 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[We do not normally comment on domestic political affairs unless they affect international affairs. However, it is necessary to consider American political affairs because they are likely to have a particular effect on international relations. We have now entered the final phase of Barack...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Can Vladimir Putin Survive?]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2014/07/22/can_vladimir_putin_survive.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2014/07/22/can_vladimir_putin_survive.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 22 Jul 2014 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[There is a general view that Vladimir Putin governs the Russian Federation as a dictator, that he has defeated and intimidated his opponents and that he has marshaled a powerful threat to surrounding countries. This is a reasonable view, but perhaps it should be re-evaluated in the...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[The Inevitability of Foreign Entanglements]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2014/07/08/the_inevitability_of_foreign_entanglements.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2014/07/08/the_inevitability_of_foreign_entanglements.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jul 2014 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>George Friedman</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The Fourth of July weekend gave me time to consider events in Iraq and Ukraine, U.S.-German relations and the Mexican borderland and immigration. I did so in the context of the founding of the United States, asking myself if America has strayed from the founders' intent with regard to...]]></description>
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