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<title><![CDATA[Stuart Rothenberg - Articles - RealClearPolitics]]></title><link>http://www.RealClearPolicy.com/authors/rss/archive/14485.xml</link><description><![CDATA[Stuart Rothenberg]]></description><category domain="14485">Author</category><item>
							<title><![CDATA[Trump&rsquo;s Biggest Problem Remains Trump]]></title>
							<link>https://rollcall.com/2024/09/23/trumps-biggest-problem-remains-trump/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://rollcall.com/2024/09/23/trumps-biggest-problem-remains-trump/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 25 Sep 2024 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The trajectory of the presidential race is trending to Harris]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[It&rsquo;s Still a Biden Referendum. That&rsquo;s Not Good for Him]]></title>
							<link>https://rollcall.com/2024/02/27/its-still-a-biden-referendum-thats-not-good-for-him/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://rollcall.com/2024/02/27/its-still-a-biden-referendum-thats-not-good-for-him/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 28 Feb 2024 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Joe Biden has'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('‚').';' often repeated'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('‚').';' the advice his father gave him: '&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('œ').';'Joey, don'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'t compare me to the Almighty. Compare me to the alternative.'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('�').';''&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('‚').';']]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[The States That Matter in 2024]]></title>
							<link>https://rollcall.com/2024/02/05/the-states-that-matter-in-2024/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://rollcall.com/2024/02/05/the-states-that-matter-in-2024/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Mon, 05 Feb 2024 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[It'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s only February, nine months until the 2024 elections, but it'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s already clear that a small number of states will decide which party holds the White House and both chambers of Congress in 2025.'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('‚').';' '&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('‚').';']]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[The Incredibly Shrinking GOP Presidential Contest]]></title>
							<link>https://rollcall.com/2023/11/06/the-incredibly-shrinking-gop-presidential-contest/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://rollcall.com/2023/11/06/the-incredibly-shrinking-gop-presidential-contest/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 07 Nov 2023 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Stop the presses. Former Vice President Mike Pence and former Texas Rep. Will Hurd are out of the 2024 GOP presidential contest. That development would be shocking if the two had ever been relevant in the fight for the nomination. Alas, neither was.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Why Democrats Aren&rsquo;t Far Ahead Heading Into 2024]]></title>
							<link>https://rollcall.com/2023/10/10/why-democrats-arent-far-ahead-heading-into-2024/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://rollcall.com/2023/10/10/why-democrats-arent-far-ahead-heading-into-2024/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 11 Oct 2023 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Given the behavior of former President Donald Trump, House Republicans and the Freedom Caucus wing of the Republican Party, it'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s hard to believe that the 2024 presidential and congressional elections are going to be close. But they will be.'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('‚').';' '&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('‚').';' '&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('‚').';' '&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('‚').';']]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[2024 Outlook: Moving From Strange to Bizarre]]></title>
							<link>https://rollcall.com/2023/07/24/2024-outlook-moving-from-strange-to-bizarre/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://rollcall.com/2023/07/24/2024-outlook-moving-from-strange-to-bizarre/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Mon, 24 Jul 2023 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The 2024 presidential election is already weird, but the quixotic primary contenders in both parties pose no threat to the front runners.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[DeSantis May Want To Ask Dukakis About 2024 Strategy]]></title>
							<link>https://rollcall.com/2023/06/05/desantis-may-want-to-ask-dukakis-about-running-on-florida-record/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://rollcall.com/2023/06/05/desantis-may-want-to-ask-dukakis-about-running-on-florida-record/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Thu, 08 Jun 2023 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Ron DeSantis may want to look to what happened to Democrats in 1988 as he runs for president by touting his record as Florida's governor.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[So, What Color Is Virginia Now?]]></title>
							<link>https://www.rollcall.com/2021/11/16/so-what-color-is-virginia-now/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.rollcall.com/2021/11/16/so-what-color-is-virginia-now/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 20 Nov 2021 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[ANALYSIS '&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('”').';' Does the recent GOP success in Virginia mean the commonwealth is no longer reliably Democratic? Stuart Rothenberg says no.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Will Dems' Anti-Trump Attacks Be More Effective in '22?]]></title>
							<link>https://www.rollcall.com/2021/11/01/could-anti-trump-messaging-be-more-effective-in-2022-than-in-2021/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.rollcall.com/2021/11/01/could-anti-trump-messaging-be-more-effective-in-2022-than-in-2021/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 02 Nov 2021 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[ANALYSIS '&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('”').';' What does the Virginia governor's race say about the effect Donald Trump has on elections? Stu Rothenberg breaks it down.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[All Politics Isn't Local Anymore]]></title>
							<link>https://www.rollcall.com/2021/10/18/all-politics-isnt-local-anymore/#431</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.rollcall.com/2021/10/18/all-politics-isnt-local-anymore/#431]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 19 Oct 2021 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The Virginia governor's race is tight this year, and evidence of the growing trend of nationalized elections.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Dems Need to Get Out of This Dilemma Before 2022]]></title>
							<link>https://www.rollcall.com/2021/09/21/the-democrats-deepening-dilemma/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.rollcall.com/2021/09/21/the-democrats-deepening-dilemma/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 22 Sep 2021 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Democrats face a deluge of bad news and intraparty infighting, a less-than-ideal situation as they gear up for the 2022 midterms.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Is the Era of Small Government Over?]]></title>
							<link>https://www.rollcall.com/2021/05/11/is-the-era-of-small-government-over/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.rollcall.com/2021/05/11/is-the-era-of-small-government-over/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 11 May 2021 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[ANALYSIS '&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('”').';' Public opinion surveys show an edge for those saying they want government to do more, signaling support for Joe Biden's agenda.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Do Democrats Need a Backup Plan?]]></title>
							<link>https://www.rollcall.com/news/campaigns/democrats-need-backup-plan</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.rollcall.com/news/campaigns/democrats-need-backup-plan]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 21 Aug 2019 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Former first lady Michelle Obamahas disavowed any interest in running for president. But she would have plenty of assets if she did run, Rothenberg writes.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[How Many Ways Is Michigan In Play in 2020?]]></title>
							<link>http://www.rollcall.com/news/congress/how-many-ways-is-michigan-in-play-in-2020#431</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.rollcall.com/news/congress/how-many-ways-is-michigan-in-play-in-2020#431]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 18 Jun 2019 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Michigan will be a major political proving ground in 2020, with a marquee Senate race and the presidential contest being important.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Why Abortion Issue May Hurt Republicans in 2020]]></title>
							<link>http://www.rollcall.com/news/opinion/will-the-supreme-court-save-the-gop-from-itself-on-abortion</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.rollcall.com/news/opinion/will-the-supreme-court-save-the-gop-from-itself-on-abortion]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Fri, 24 May 2019 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Social conservatives cheering the rash of state laws limiting legal abortion might want to be careful what they wish for, Rothenberg writes.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Why Doug Jones Starts as the Underdog in Alabama]]></title>
							<link>http://www.rollcall.com/news/congress/can-doug-jones-win-a-full-term-in-alabama</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.rollcall.com/news/congress/can-doug-jones-win-a-full-term-in-alabama]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 09 Jan 2019 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Sen. Doug Jones, D-Ala., faces voters again in 2020, and it will likely be a different dynamic than the one that got him elected in 2017.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Wave or No Wave, Look for Democrats to Flip the House]]></title>
							<link>http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/house-outlook-steady-as-she-goes</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/house-outlook-steady-as-she-goes]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Thu, 25 Oct 2018 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The House midterm outlook still points to enough gains for Democrats to flip the majority status, but the size of that majority is still up for grabs.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Can Republican Senators Get to 60 Seats in 2018?]]></title>
							<link>https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2016/12/20/can-republican-senators-get-to-60-seats-in-2018/?utm_term=.8381cbeb1e62</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2016/12/20/can-republican-senators-get-to-60-seats-in-2018/?utm_term=.8381cbeb1e62]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Mon, 26 Dec 2016 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The GOP'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s strong 2016 election showing raises a crucial question: Do Republicans have any chance of netting eight Senate seats '&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('“').';' and a filibuster-proof majority '&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('“').';' in 2018? The upcoming Senate class is unusually unbalanced. Only eight Republican Senate seats are up for...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Clinton Starts With a Decisive Advantage]]></title>
							<link>http://www.rollcall.com/news/rothenblog/clinton-starts-with-a-decisive-advantage</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.rollcall.com/news/rothenblog/clinton-starts-with-a-decisive-advantage]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Thu, 12 May 2016 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The warnings about jumping to conclusions about November are widespread.I'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'ve heard that it'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s early in the presidential race and that we underestimated Donald Trump last time so we should be careful now. I'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'ve also heard that Trump'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s strength with working-class whites...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Democrats Are Headed Off Their Own Cliff]]></title>
							<link>http://www.rollcall.com/news/rothenblog/democrats-headed-off-cliff</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.rollcall.com/news/rothenblog/democrats-headed-off-cliff]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 12 Apr 2016 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Political observers '&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('“').';' yes, including myself '&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('“').';' have argued for years that the Republican Party has moved too far right, allowing its most ideological elements to limit its legislative options, prevent it from addressing national problems, and damage its appeal to key swing and...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Will 'Electability' Sink Trump's Campaign?]]></title>
							<link>http://blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/will-electability-sink-trump/?dcz=</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/will-electability-sink-trump/?dcz=]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sun, 03 Jan 2016 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Most national polls show Republican frontrunner Donald Trump trailing likely Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton and faring worse than other GOP hopefuls against her.That raises an obvious question: Could doubts about Trump'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s strength in a general election derail his bid...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Paris Attacks Will Keep Obama &amp; Dems Playing Defense]]></title>
							<link>http://blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/paris-presents-plenty-political-risk-obama-party/?dcz=</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/paris-presents-plenty-political-risk-obama-party/?dcz=]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Thu, 19 Nov 2015 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[I say it repeatedly: Events matter. And for President Barack Obama, the terror attacks in Paris present a no-win political situation, at least until other, compelling news changes the subject.That is not to say the president, the Democratic Party or the likely Democratic 2016 nominee,...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Don't Get Too Caught Up in the Trump &amp; Carson Panic]]></title>
							<link>http://blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/dont-get-caught-trump-carson-panic/?dcz</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/dont-get-caught-trump-carson-panic/?dcz]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 18 Nov 2015 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The panic is palpable from the media and too many GOP '&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('œ').';'insiders.'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('�').';''&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('‚').';' The Republican Party is going to nominate Donald Trump or Ben Carson for president, guaranteeing Barry Goldwater-style losses in the 2016 elections and threatening the Republic. Or, as The Washington Post put...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Can Marco Rubio Save the GOP?]]></title>
							<link>http://blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/marco-rubio-2016-cuban-primary/?dcz=</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/marco-rubio-2016-cuban-primary/?dcz=]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 09 Jun 2015 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The Republican presidential field looks unusually diverse this cycle '&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('”').';' an African-American (Ben Carson), an Indian-American (Bobby Jindal), a woman (Carly Fiorina) and a Hispanic, or, if you prefer, a Cuban (Marco Rubio). One candidate is married to a Hispanic originally from Mexico...]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Fixing an Unfair Presidential Debate System]]></title>
							<link>http://blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/presidential-candidates-2016-republican-debate-systems/?dcz=</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/presidential-candidates-2016-republican-debate-systems/?dcz=]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Tue, 26 May 2015 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Fox News and CNN, which will broadcast the first two GOP presidential debates, have decided on a system for excluding candidates that could result in Donald Trump participating in those debates but current or former senators and governors being excluded.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Hillary Rodham Romney?]]></title>
							<link>http://www3.blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/hillary-clinton-martin-omalley-hillary-rodham-romney/</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www3.blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/hillary-clinton-martin-omalley-hillary-rodham-romney/]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 29 Apr 2015 00:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[For all her recent efforts to prove her progressive credentials to Democratic primary voters and caucus participants, former Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton has not made those on her party'&#'.ord('Ã').';''&#'.ord('¢').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('€').';''&#'.ord('Â').';''&#'.ord('™').';'s left entirely comfortable with her. And she never will.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[My Best Election Stories]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/changing_lanes/2015/01/17/stuart_rothenberg_tells_his_best_election_stories.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/changing_lanes/2015/01/17/stuart_rothenberg_tells_his_best_election_stories.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Sat, 17 Jan 2015 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The political analyst shares his most memorable experiences with candidates.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[The Future of Political Forecasting]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/changing_lanes/2015/01/16/rothenberg_the_next_generation_of_political_forecasting.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/changing_lanes/2015/01/16/rothenberg_the_next_generation_of_political_forecasting.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Fri, 16 Jan 2015 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[Carl Cannon asks the political analyst about the future of his industry.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[How to Predict Wave Elections]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/changing_lanes/2015/01/15/rothenberg_how_to_predict_wave_elections.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/changing_lanes/2015/01/15/rothenberg_how_to_predict_wave_elections.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Thu, 15 Jan 2015 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[The political analyst explains how to anticipate unusual election outcomes.]]></description>
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							<title><![CDATA[Covering Politics without Ideology]]></title>
							<link>http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/changing_lanes/2015/01/14/stuart_rothenberg_on_covering_politics_without_ideology.html</link>
							<guid><![CDATA[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/changing_lanes/2015/01/14/stuart_rothenberg_on_covering_politics_without_ideology.html]]></guid>							
							<pubDate>Wed, 14 Jan 2015 00:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
							<author>Stuart Rothenberg</author>
							<description><![CDATA[]]></description>
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